Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sparta Rotterdam v Heerenveen

Início: 2026-09-19 16:45 UTC

Final: Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Heerenveen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sparta Rotterdam (Local)

Previsão 38.60%2.59odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -0.613%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.43%38.61%38.65%39.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.402.402.5544.44%41.69%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Heerenveen (Visitante)

Previsão 36.55%2.74odd justa
EV +0.502%
Vantagem +0.183%
Kelly +0.287%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.33%36.55%36.45%37.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.382.562.552.7542.02%39.02%39.22%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.85%4.02odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -0.465%
Kelly -0.623%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.57%24.84%24.90%26.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.723.753.9529.41%26.89%26.67%25.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sparta Rotterdam (Local): 38.60%; Heerenveen (Visitante): 36.55%; Empate: 24.85%. Para Heerenveen (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.74. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.502%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.82%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.48%EV +0.502%E +0.183%K +0.287%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.70%EV -1.84%E -0.465%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 16:19
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.71%EV -6.58%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.33%EV -0.594%E -0.219%K -0.346%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.63%EV -6.20%E -2.55%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.67%EV -1.33%E -0.491%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.70%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 16:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.63%EV -6.20%E -2.55%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.67%EV -1.33%E -0.491%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.70%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -4.65%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.82%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.61%EV -7.55%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 02:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -4.65%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.82%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.61%EV -7.55%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 03:00
BetAnything🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -4.65%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.82%EV -2.79%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.61%EV -7.55%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 03:01
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -8.13%E -3.41%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:19
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:20
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -2.72%E -1.08%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:29
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -1.56%E -0.613%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.90%EV -3.33%E -0.856%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-19 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -4.98%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.98%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.75%EV -5.81%E -2.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.37%EV -4.98%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:30
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -4.98%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:35
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -4.98%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -4.98%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:34
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -4.98%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:19
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -4.98%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -4.98%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:19
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -10.06%E -4.32%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -4.98%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 16:19
Betsson🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -3.88%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.71%E -2.21%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.20%EV -11.28%E -3.16%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 16:30
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.84%E -0.465%K -0.623%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 16:35
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 16:38
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 16:38
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:24
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -11.21%E -4.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -11.21%E -4.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -11.21%E -4.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -11.21%E -4.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 16:19
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -11.21%E -4.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 16:19
Bovada🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.02%EV -7.17%E -2.82%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.76%EV -7.54%E -2.98%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.27%EV -8.55%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:39
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:19
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -5.42%E -2.21%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 16:30
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 16:39
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.13%E -3.41%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 16:19
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 16:34
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:20
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.35%E -3.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.13%E -3.41%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.29%EV -11.99%E -5.26%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.83%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -13.14%E -5.84%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -13.14%E -5.84%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 16:23
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.67%EV -9.28%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 16:23
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -11.21%E -4.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 16:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.45%EV -10.44%E -4.50%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.41%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -11.78%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 16:29
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.13%E -3.41%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 16:24
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.29%EV -13.14%E -5.84%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -13.02%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.57%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 16:23
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 38.05%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.39%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56%0.3%2026-09-19 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.23%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-09-19 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.23%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-09-19 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.23%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-09-19 16:40
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-09-19 16:40
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-09-19 16:24