默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sparta Rotterdam v FC Volendam

开赛时间: 2026-03-21 17:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sparta Rotterdam (主队)

预测 65.37%1.53公平赔率
EV -3.25%
优势 -2.20%
Kelly -6.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.48

博彩公司预测分布
61.43%65.36%65.32%66.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.421.421.4876.92%70.46%70.42%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Volendam (客队)

预测 14.68%6.81公平赔率
EV +2.73%
优势 +0.390%
Kelly +0.455%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 7.00

博彩公司预测分布
13.66%14.72%14.75%16.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.276.257.0018.18%15.96%16.00%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.96%5.01公平赔率
EV +3.77%
优势 +0.725%
Kelly +0.897%
增长率 +0.034%

假设最高赔率为 5.20

博彩公司预测分布
18.39%19.92%19.93%22.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.694.655.2026.67%21.32%21.51%19.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Sparta Rotterdam (主队):65.37%;FC Volendam (客队):14.68%;平局:19.96%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.01。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.20,对应+3.77%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.78%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.48%EV +3.77%E +0.725%K +0.897%G +0.034%4.1%2026-03-21 17:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.78%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.48%EV +3.77%E +0.725%K +0.897%G +0.034%4.1%2026-03-21 17:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.72%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV +3.77%E +0.725%K +0.897%G +0.034%4.5%2026-03-21 17:05
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.72%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.32%EV -6.81%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%EV +2.37%E +0.462%K +0.574%G +0.014%2.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%EV -6.08%E -0.950%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV +1.77%E +0.348%K +0.433%G +0.008%5.2%2026-03-21 17:04
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.41%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -6.08%E -0.950%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:05
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.41%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -6.08%E -0.950%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:05
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.41%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -6.08%E -0.950%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:04
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.41%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -6.08%E -0.950%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.33%EV -7.83%E -5.55%K -19.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.99%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -6.08%E -0.950%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -2.22%E -0.453%K -0.569%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -9.79%E -7.09%K -25.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -2.22%E -0.453%K -0.569%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.24%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.85%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.91%EV -3.22%E -0.663%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 17:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.24%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.85%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.91%EV -3.22%E -0.663%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 17:29
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.16%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.75%EV -4.02%E -0.615%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -4.21%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV +2.73%E +0.390%K +0.455%G +0.012%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -4.21%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -9.14%E -6.57%K -23.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -14.88%E -2.57%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -4.21%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.22%EV -10.44%E -7.62%K -28.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -10.48%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -4.21%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.22%EV -10.44%E -7.62%K -28.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -10.48%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -4.21%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 17:05
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.79%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -0.941%E -0.139%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:30
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.77%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -7.21%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -3.88%E -0.592%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -7.21%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.15%EV -11.75%E -8.71%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -10.48%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.21%EV -7.21%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 17:38
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.54%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 17:34
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 17:35
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:40
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:39
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:39
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 17:39
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -11.10%E -8.16%K -30.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -19.29%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-21 17:39
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.13%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 14.83%EV -9.75%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.04%EV -9.20%E -2.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 17:34
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 17:39
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 16:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.58%EV -12.41%E -9.26%K -36.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -13.41%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.79%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.80%EV +1.26%E +0.183%K +0.214%G +0.003%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.40%EV -11.20%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:29
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.79%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.80%EV +1.26%E +0.183%K +0.214%G +0.003%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.40%EV -11.20%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:29
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 17:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.46%EV -13.06%E -9.82%K -39.57%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.76%EV -13.41%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.79%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 17:39
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 17:19
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.62%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -16.19%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 17:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 64.05%EV -15.02%E -11.55%K -50.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.14%EV -19.29%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.82%EV -20.18%E -5.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-21 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -19.29%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -25.17%E -6.71%K -9.15%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-21 17:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-03-21 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-03-21 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-03-21 17:40
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-03-21 17:39
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-03-21 17:40
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-03-21 17:09