L’École des cotes

Sparta Rotterdam v FC Volendam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sparta Rotterdam (Local)

Prévision 65.37%1.53cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -2.20%
Kelly -6.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.43%65.36%65.32%66.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.421.421.4876.92%70.46%70.42%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Volendam (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.68%6.81cote équitable
EV +2.73%
Avantage +0.390%
Kelly +0.455%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.66%14.72%14.75%16.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.276.257.0018.18%15.96%16.00%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.96%5.01cote équitable
EV +3.77%
Avantage +0.725%
Kelly +0.897%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.39%19.92%19.93%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.694.655.2026.67%21.32%21.51%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.78%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.48%EV +3.77%E +0.725%K +0.897%G +0.034%4.1%2026-03-21 17:04
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.78%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.48%EV +3.77%E +0.725%K +0.897%G +0.034%4.1%2026-03-21 17:04
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.89%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.72%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV +3.77%E +0.725%K +0.897%G +0.034%4.5%2026-03-21 17:05
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.72%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.32%EV -6.81%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%EV +2.37%E +0.462%K +0.574%G +0.014%2.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%EV -6.08%E -0.950%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV +1.77%E +0.348%K +0.433%G +0.008%5.2%2026-03-21 17:04
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.41%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -6.08%E -0.950%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:05
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.41%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -6.08%E -0.950%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:05
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.41%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -6.08%E -0.950%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:04
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 66.41%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -6.08%E -0.950%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:05
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.33%EV -7.83%E -5.55%K -19.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 17:04
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:45
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:05
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.222%E -0.044%K -0.056%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:04
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.99%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -6.08%E -0.950%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -2.22%E -0.453%K -0.569%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.56%EV -9.79%E -7.09%K -25.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -2.22%E -0.453%K -0.569%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 17:05
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.24%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.85%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.91%EV -3.22%E -0.663%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 17:29
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.24%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.85%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.91%EV -3.22%E -0.663%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 17:29
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.16%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.75%EV -4.02%E -0.615%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -4.21%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 17:34
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV +2.73%E +0.390%K +0.455%G +0.012%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -4.21%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 17:39
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -9.14%E -6.57%K -23.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -14.88%E -2.57%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -4.21%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 17:39
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.22%EV -10.44%E -7.62%K -28.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -10.48%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -4.21%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 17:05
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.22%EV -10.44%E -7.62%K -28.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -10.48%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -4.21%E -0.878%K -1.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 17:05
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.79%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -0.941%E -0.139%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 17:40
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:49
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:30
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.77%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -7.21%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:28
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -3.88%E -0.592%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -7.21%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:29
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.15%EV -11.75%E -8.71%K -33.58%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -10.48%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.21%EV -7.21%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 17:38
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.54%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 17:34
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 17:35
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:40
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 17:39
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:40
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:39
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 17:39
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 17:39
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 17:39
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -11.10%E -8.16%K -30.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -19.29%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-21 17:39
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.13%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 14.83%EV -9.75%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.04%EV -9.20%E -2.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 17:34
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:24
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:39
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 17:39
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 16:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.58%EV -12.41%E -9.26%K -36.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -13.41%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 17:39
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.79%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.80%EV +1.26%E +0.183%K +0.214%G +0.003%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.40%EV -11.20%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:29
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.79%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.80%EV +1.26%E +0.183%K +0.214%G +0.003%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.40%EV -11.20%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 17:29
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 17:30
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.46%EV -13.06%E -9.82%K -39.57%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.76%EV -13.41%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.79%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 17:39
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 17:19
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.62%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -16.19%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 17:29
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 64.05%EV -15.02%E -11.55%K -50.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.14%EV -19.29%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.82%EV -20.18%E -5.04%K -6.73%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-21 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -19.29%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -25.17%E -6.71%K -9.15%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-21 17:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-03-21 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-03-21 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-03-21 17:40
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-03-21 17:39
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-03-21 17:40
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-03-21 17:09