Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.71
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sparta Rotterdam (Local): 36.34%; FC Utrecht (Visit): 36.44%; Draw: 27.22%. For FC Utrecht (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.223%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.89%E -0.700%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.52%EV +0.223%E +0.081%K +0.127%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -3.71%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.70%EV -1.60%E -0.592%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.37%EV -3.71%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.70%EV -1.60%E -0.592%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.40%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.99%EV -2.69%E -1.01%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.61%EV -5.28%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.75%EV -1.53%E -0.563%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.84%EV -5.28%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -3.71%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -3.42%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 07:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -3.71%E -1.40%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -3.42%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -3.42%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.42%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 04:33 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -3.79%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.91%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -3.79%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.91%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -3.79%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.91%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -4.15%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -4.15%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -4.15%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -4.52%E -1.72%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 04:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -4.80%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -4.52%E -1.72%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -4.80%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -4.52%E -1.72%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.52%E -1.72%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 04:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.02%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.02%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 14:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-21 16:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 04:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.16%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 07:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -5.24%E -2.02%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.31%EV -5.61%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.42%EV -6.98%E -2.73%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.00%EV -5.61%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -8.00%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.07%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 15:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.07%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.07%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.07%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 10:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.16%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.16%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.16%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -7.07%E -2.77%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.16%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.02%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 05:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 15:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.16%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 07:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.16%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-20 02:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.16%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-20 02:22 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.16%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-20 02:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.16%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-20 02:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.98%EV -9.88%E -3.99%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -14.26%E -4.53%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.98%EV -9.88%E -3.99%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -14.26%E -4.53%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.98%EV -9.88%E -3.99%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.89%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -14.26%E -4.53%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -5.52%E -2.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -9.62%E -3.88%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.01%EV -6.64%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 04:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.34%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.71%E -4.37%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.16%E -3.66%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.71%E -4.37%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.71%E -4.37%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.71%E -4.37%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 08:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -10.97%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.09%EV -12.53%E -5.22%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-17 08:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.79%E -5.33%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.53%E -5.22%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-20 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -12.79%E -5.33%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -14.36%E -6.11%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.18%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-17 08:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-08-22 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.23% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.23% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.23% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.23% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.03% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |