Language:English
Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax
Head to Head
Sparta Rotterdam (Local)
Prediction 14.02%7.13fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.225%
Kelly +0.261%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 7.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.10%14.07%14.08%16.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.336.257.2518.52%15.80%16.00%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ajax (Visit)
Prediction 67.73%1.48fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -3.19%
Kelly -10.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.49%67.62%67.84%69.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.361.371.4177.52%73.56%73.26%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.25%5.48fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -0.630%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.73%18.31%18.08%19.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.964.905.3322.22%20.17%20.41%18.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sparta Rotterdam (Local): 14.02%; Ajax (Visit): 67.73%; Draw: 18.25%. For Sparta Rotterdam (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.13. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.25, producing a positive expected value of +1.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +1.63%E +0.225%K +0.261%G +0.004% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.53%E -4.73%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -4.19%E -0.798%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 13:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -1.88%E -0.268%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.53%E -4.73%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -4.19%E -0.798%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.88%E -0.268%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.88%E -5.80%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.19%E -0.798%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.88%E -0.268%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.56%E -6.34%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.19%E -0.798%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -1.88%E -0.268%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.01%EV -9.24%E -6.89%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -5.10%E -0.981%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 13:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.84I 14.62%NM 14.02%EV -4.12%E -0.602%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.00%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.99%EV -2.73%E -0.512%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 13:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.09%EV -7.48%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.86%EV -7.21%E -5.26%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.05%EV -6.01%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 13:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -7.21%E -5.26%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.75%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 12:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.95%E -9.19%K -39.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -8.75%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.40%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.40%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.40%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 13:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.40%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 13:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.86%EV -18.70%E -3.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 66.81%EV -12.63%E -9.79%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.34%EV -14.23%E -3.03%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-11 12:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.24%EV -19.40%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -9.92%E -7.46%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.85%EV -15.14%E -3.26%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-11 12:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.15%EV -19.40%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.49%EV -9.92%E -7.46%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -17.88%E -3.97%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-11 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -22.90%E -4.16%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.67%EV -9.24%E -6.89%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.33%EV -12.40%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-11 12:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.03%EV -24.30%E -4.50%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.56%EV -10.59%E -8.03%K -33.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.41%EV -14.23%E -3.03%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-10-11 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.