The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SC Telstar v FC Utrecht

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 13:30 UTC

Final: SC Telstar 4–2 FC Utrecht

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Telstar (Local)

Prediction 28.39%3.52fair odd
EV +3.04%
Edge +0.837%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.43%28.32%28.35%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.303.6333.33%30.61%30.30%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Utrecht (Visit)

Prediction 46.24%2.16fair odd
EV -0.121%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.104%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.62%46.35%46.34%48.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.012.012.1655.56%49.74%49.63%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.37%3.94fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.267%
Kelly -0.359%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.73%25.33%25.31%26.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.603.9029.41%27.51%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Telstar (Local): 28.39%; FC Utrecht (Visit): 46.24%; Draw: 25.37%. For SC Telstar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.43%EV +3.04%E +0.837%K +1.16%G +0.035%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.71%EV -8.91%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.86%EV -2.06%E -0.533%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 13:25
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +2.19%E +0.608%K +0.841%G +0.018%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.51%EV -5.67%E -2.78%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.57%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 13:25
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -0.651%E -0.186%K -0.260%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 13:24
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -0.651%E -0.186%K -0.260%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -0.651%E -0.186%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.91%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 13:25
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.07%E -0.600%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.75%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 13:25
Betsson🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 27.42%EV -3.21%E -0.940%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -7.06%E -3.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -8.91%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:25
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 13:25
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.28%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 13:24
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.13%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.121%E -0.056%K -0.104%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-01 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.13%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.121%E -0.056%K -0.104%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-01 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.30%EV -0.583%E -0.271%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.63%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.7%2026-11-01 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 12:45
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 12:45
BetAnything🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 12:45
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 13:25
picklebet_au🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 13:25
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:10
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:10
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:10
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:10
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 13:25
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 13:25
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 13:25
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 13:25
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -7.75%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.80%EV -4.74%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 12:45
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -7.75%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -2.31%E -0.600%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.75%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -1.04%E -0.267%K -0.359%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.89%EV -8.60%E -2.67%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.51%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.61%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -9.17%E -2.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -4.28%E -2.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 13:05
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -9.17%E -2.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -4.28%E -2.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 13:05
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -9.17%E -2.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -4.28%E -2.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 13:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.17%E -2.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 13:25
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.17%E -2.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:25
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.76%EV -4.74%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.92%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:05
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.92%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -8.44%E -4.26%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 13:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 28.53%EV -11.15%E -3.56%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -11.22%E -5.84%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.95%EV -9.16%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 13:05
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -5.67%E -2.78%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 13:05
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 13:05
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 13:05
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 12:44
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.39%EV -16.77%E -9.32%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%17.2%2026-11-01 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 13:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -8.91%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 13:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.78%EV -10.76%E -5.57%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 13:25
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -14.84%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.68%E -6.12%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -14.84%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.79%EV -12.14%E -6.39%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.22%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-01 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-11-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-11-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-11-01 13:25
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-11-01 13:20

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