L’École des cotes

PSV Eindhoven v NEC Nijmegen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Prévision 62.79%1.59cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -3.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.69%62.80%62.91%65.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.471.481.5674.63%67.84%67.57%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

NEC Nijmegen (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.22%5.49cote équitable
EV +9.33%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +1.87%
Croissance +0.174%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.01%18.20%18.26%19.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.215.256.0022.73%19.18%19.05%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.99%5.27cote équitable
EV -0.294%
Avantage -0.056%
Kelly -0.069%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.18%19.00%18.84%22.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.854.905.2526.67%20.64%20.41%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.00%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25%EV +9.33%E +1.56%K +1.87%G +0.174%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -1.24%E -0.239%K -0.296%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-14 17:40
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.64%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.72%EV +5.69%E +0.981%K +1.19%G +0.067%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%EV -1.24%E -0.239%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 17:40
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.64%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.72%EV +5.69%E +0.981%K +1.19%G +0.067%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%EV -1.24%E -0.239%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 17:40
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 65.49%EV -10.22%E -7.14%K -23.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV +5.69%E +0.981%K +1.19%G +0.067%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.14%E -0.616%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:00
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 65.41%EV -10.84%E -7.64%K -25.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +5.69%E +0.981%K +1.19%G +0.067%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 17:04
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.53%EV -7.70%E -5.24%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV +4.78%E +0.831%K +1.01%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:40
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.69%EV -8.33%E -5.71%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.78%E +0.831%K +1.01%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 17:40
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV +4.78%E +0.831%K +1.01%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:40
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV +4.78%E +0.831%K +1.01%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:40
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV +4.78%E +0.831%K +1.01%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:40
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.63%EV -10.22%E -7.14%K -23.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV +2.05%E +0.365%K +0.445%G +0.009%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.79%EV -10.84%E -7.64%K -25.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV +2.05%E +0.365%K +0.445%G +0.009%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 17:40
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.28%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.28%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 17:20
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -0.294%E -0.056%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 17:40
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 63.96%EV -8.33%E -5.71%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:40
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.96%E -6.18%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.96%E -6.18%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.51%EV -11.47%E -8.14%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 17:40
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.51%EV -11.47%E -8.14%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 17:40
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.18%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -1.60%E -0.296%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -11.69%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 17:25
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.18%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -1.60%E -0.296%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -11.69%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 17:25
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.65%EV -3.31%E -2.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.90%EV -1.78%E -0.330%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.45%EV -5.80%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 17:35
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.64%EV -7.70%E -5.24%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -3.42%E -0.645%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 17:30
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.99%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.42%E -0.645%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:30
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -4.33%E -0.825%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -0.294%E -0.056%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 17:40
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.38%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -4.33%E -0.825%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 17:30
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.60%EV -6.45%E -4.33%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -4.33%E -0.825%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 17:40
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -4.33%E -0.825%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 17:25
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -6.15%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:40
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -6.15%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:40
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -6.15%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:40
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -7.07%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -3.14%E -0.616%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 17:35
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:30
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:30
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -3.94%E -2.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 17:40
Codere (IT)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:30
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 17:39
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 17:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 17:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 17:35
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.96%E -6.18%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.40%EV -9.80%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.78%EV -7.89%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 17:40
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:35
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:35
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:35
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -10.84%E -7.64%K -25.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 17:38
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -17.77%E -4.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 17:30
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.83%EV -12.73%E -9.16%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.58%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.58%EV -10.74%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-14 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.54%EV -12.10%E -8.64%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.83%EV -15.27%E -3.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -10.74%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-14 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -7.70%E -5.24%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -16.18%E -3.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 17:40
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 62.10%EV -15.87%E -11.84%K -46.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.09%EV -16.18%E -3.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.81%EV -20.24%E -4.82%K -6.32%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-14 17:35
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -18.00%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -18.00%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -28.78%E -7.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-14 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.38%EV -10.22%E -7.14%K -23.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -19.82%E -4.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -10.74%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.76%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.92%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32%1.5%2026-03-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.11%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%1.6%2026-03-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.11%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%1.6%2026-03-14 17:25
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%3.0%2026-03-14 17:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%3.0%2026-03-14 17:40