La escuela de los momios

PSV Eindhoven v NEC Nijmegen

Inicio: 2026-03-14 17:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Predicción 62.79%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -3.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.69%62.80%62.91%65.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.471.481.5674.63%67.84%67.57%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

NEC Nijmegen (Visitante)

Predicción 18.22%5.49momio equitativo
EV +9.33%
Ventaja +1.56%
Kelly +1.87%
Crecimiento +0.174%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.01%18.20%18.26%19.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.215.256.0022.73%19.18%19.05%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.99%5.27momio equitativo
EV -0.294%
Ventaja -0.056%
Kelly -0.069%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.18%19.00%18.84%22.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.854.905.2526.67%20.64%20.41%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.00%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25%EV +9.33%E +1.56%K +1.87%G +0.174%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -1.24%E -0.239%K -0.296%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-14 17:40
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.64%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.72%EV +5.69%E +0.981%K +1.19%G +0.067%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%EV -1.24%E -0.239%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 17:40
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.64%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.72%EV +5.69%E +0.981%K +1.19%G +0.067%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%EV -1.24%E -0.239%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 17:40
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 65.49%EV -10.22%E -7.14%K -23.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%EV +5.69%E +0.981%K +1.19%G +0.067%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.36%EV -3.14%E -0.616%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:00
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 65.41%EV -10.84%E -7.64%K -25.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +5.69%E +0.981%K +1.19%G +0.067%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 17:04
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.53%EV -7.70%E -5.24%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV +4.78%E +0.831%K +1.01%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:40
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.69%EV -8.33%E -5.71%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.78%E +0.831%K +1.01%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 17:40
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV +4.78%E +0.831%K +1.01%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:40
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV +4.78%E +0.831%K +1.01%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:40
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV +4.78%E +0.831%K +1.01%G +0.048%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:40
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.63%EV -10.22%E -7.14%K -23.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV +2.05%E +0.365%K +0.445%G +0.009%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.79%EV -10.84%E -7.64%K -25.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV +2.05%E +0.365%K +0.445%G +0.009%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 17:40
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.28%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.28%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 17:20
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -0.294%E -0.056%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 17:40
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 63.96%EV -8.33%E -5.71%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:40
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.96%E -6.18%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.96%E -6.18%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.51%EV -11.47%E -8.14%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 17:40
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.51%EV -11.47%E -8.14%K -27.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV +0.223%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 17:40
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.18%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -1.60%E -0.296%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -11.69%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 17:25
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.18%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -1.60%E -0.296%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -11.69%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 17:25
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.65%EV -3.31%E -2.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.90%EV -1.78%E -0.330%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.45%EV -5.80%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 17:35
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.64%EV -7.70%E -5.24%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -3.42%E -0.645%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 17:30
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.99%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.42%E -0.645%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 17:30
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -4.33%E -0.825%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -0.294%E -0.056%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 17:40
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.38%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -4.33%E -0.825%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 17:30
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.60%EV -6.45%E -4.33%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -4.33%E -0.825%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 17:40
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -4.33%E -0.825%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 17:25
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -6.15%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:40
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -6.15%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:40
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -4.57%E -3.00%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -6.15%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:40
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.05%E -1.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -7.07%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -3.14%E -0.616%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 17:35
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:30
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 17:30
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -3.94%E -2.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.94%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 17:40
Codere (IT)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 17:30
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 17:39
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 17:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -12.64%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 17:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.89%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 17:35
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.96%E -6.18%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.40%EV -9.80%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.78%EV -7.89%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 17:40
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:35
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:35
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:35
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.79%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -10.84%E -7.64%K -25.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -8.84%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 17:38
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -17.77%E -4.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 17:30
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.83%EV -12.73%E -9.16%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.58%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.58%EV -10.74%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-14 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.54%EV -12.10%E -8.64%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.83%EV -15.27%E -3.28%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -10.74%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-14 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -7.70%E -5.24%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -16.18%E -3.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.04%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 17:40
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 62.10%EV -15.87%E -11.84%K -46.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.09%EV -16.18%E -3.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.81%EV -20.24%E -4.82%K -6.32%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-14 17:35
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -18.00%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -14.54%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -18.00%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -28.78%E -7.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-14 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.38%EV -10.22%E -7.14%K -23.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -19.82%E -4.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -10.74%E -2.29%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 17:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.76%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.92%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32%1.5%2026-03-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.11%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%1.6%2026-03-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.11%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%1.6%2026-03-14 17:25
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%3.0%2026-03-14 17:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.62%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%3.0%2026-03-14 17:40