Language:English
PSV Eindhoven v Heerenveen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
PSV Eindhoven (Local)
Prediction 76.01%1.32fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -12.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.74%76.08%76.00%78.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.221.2785.47%82.33%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Heerenveen (Visit)
Prediction 10.63%9.41fair odd
EV +16.89%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.285%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.67%10.59%10.61%12.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.159.0011.0014.29%10.92%11.11%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 13.37%7.48fair odd
EV +6.93%
Edge +0.866%
Kelly +0.989%
Growth +0.069%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.69%13.33%13.39%15.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.076.937.008.0016.47%14.43%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: PSV Eindhoven (Local): 76.01%; Heerenveen (Visit): 10.63%; Draw: 13.37%. For Heerenveen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.41. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +16.89%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.285% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.77%EV +0.243%E +0.032%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 02:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +16.89%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.285% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.77%EV +0.243%E +0.032%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 02:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +16.89%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.285% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.77%EV +0.243%E +0.032%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 02:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.17%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV +16.89%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.285% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.15%EV -3.10%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.19%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +11.58%E +1.10%K +1.22%G +0.141% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +0.243%E +0.032%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 02:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.72%EV -4.99%E -3.99%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +11.58%E +1.10%K +1.22%G +0.141% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.27%EV -17.13%E -2.76%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-28 04:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +11.58%E +1.10%K +1.22%G +0.141% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -6.44%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.56%EV -5.75%E -4.64%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.01%EV +10.52%E +1.01%K +1.12%G +0.118% | 6.07I 16.47%NM 15.43%EV -18.87%E -3.11%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 04:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.13%EV -8.79%E -7.33%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +6.27%E +0.627%K +0.696%G +0.044% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.243%E +0.032%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 16:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.13%EV -8.79%E -7.33%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +6.27%E +0.627%K +0.696%G +0.044% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.243%E +0.032%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 16:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.29%EV -8.03%E -6.64%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +6.27%E +0.627%K +0.696%G +0.044% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -6.44%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 02:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.29%EV -8.03%E -6.64%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +6.27%E +0.627%K +0.696%G +0.044% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -6.44%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 02:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.29%EV -8.03%E -6.64%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +6.27%E +0.627%K +0.696%G +0.044% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -6.44%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 02:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +6.27%E +0.627%K +0.696%G +0.044% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -16.46%E -2.63%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.05%EV -8.79%E -7.33%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV +6.27%E +0.627%K +0.696%G +0.044% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -9.78%E -1.45%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 07:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.29%EV -5.75%E -4.64%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.88%EV +3.08%E +0.317%K +0.354%G +0.011% | 7.47I 13.39%NM 12.83%EV -0.158%E -0.021%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.06%EV -8.79%E -7.33%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +0.954%E +0.100%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.44%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 02:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -8.79%E -7.33%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV +0.954%E +0.100%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -13.12%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 07:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -8.79%E -7.33%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV +0.954%E +0.100%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -13.12%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 09:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -5.75%E -4.64%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.59%EV -4.36%E -0.484%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV +1.58%E +0.208%K +0.239%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -5.75%E -4.64%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.59%EV -4.36%E -0.484%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV +1.58%E +0.208%K +0.239%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.05%EV -5.75%E -4.64%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -4.36%E -0.484%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.44%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.20%EV -6.51%E -5.29%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -4.36%E -0.484%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -6.44%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 18:03 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.92%EV -8.79%E -7.33%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -4.36%E -0.484%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +6.93%E +0.866%K +0.989%G +0.069% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 06:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.20%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -4.36%E -0.484%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.47%EV -7.78%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-30 10:17 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.27%EV -8.79%E -7.33%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.36%E -0.484%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -9.78%E -1.45%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 02:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.42%EV -9.55%E -8.03%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -4.36%E -0.484%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -9.78%E -1.45%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 02:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.42%EV -9.55%E -8.03%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -4.36%E -0.484%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -9.78%E -1.45%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 02:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.42%EV -9.55%E -8.03%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -4.36%E -0.484%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -9.78%E -1.45%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 02:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.18%EV -10.31%E -8.74%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -4.36%E -0.484%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -13.12%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 02:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -6.51%E -5.29%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.66%EV -6.48%E -0.737%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.03%EV -3.77%E -0.523%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.38%EV -3.47%E -2.73%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.94%EV -7.02%E -0.802%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.68%EV -6.44%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 03:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.32%EV -6.51%E -5.29%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.73%EV -7.02%E -0.802%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -3.10%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.32%EV -6.51%E -5.29%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.73%EV -7.02%E -0.802%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -3.10%E -0.427%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.53%EV -6.51%E -5.29%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 8.73I 11.45%NM 10.78%EV -7.23%E -0.828%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 7.42I 13.48%NM 12.69%EV -0.827%E -0.111%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -4.99%E -3.99%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.44%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 12:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -4.99%E -3.99%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.44%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.12%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -13.12%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-24 01:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.12%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -13.12%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-24 01:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.12%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -13.12%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-24 01:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.12%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -13.12%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-24 01:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.43%EV -8.79%E -7.33%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -9.67%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -13.12%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.88%EV -10.31%E -8.74%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.85%EV -12.33%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -9.78%E -1.45%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-01 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.37%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -14.99%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.44%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-21 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.37%EV -7.27%E -5.96%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -14.99%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.44%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-02 12:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.40%EV -11.07%E -9.46%K -65.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.03%EV -14.99%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -13.12%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.32%EV -10.31%E -8.74%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.54%EV -19.24%E -2.53%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.14%EV -17.13%E -2.76%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-03 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.91%EV -9.55%E -8.03%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -20.30%E -2.71%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -9.78%E -1.45%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-04 06:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.74%EV -8.79%E -7.33%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -25.61%E -3.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -13.12%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-02 06:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.07%EV -10.31%E -8.74%K -57.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.49%EV -25.61%E -3.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -13.12%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-04 06:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.43% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.81% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.56% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.64% | 13.9% | 2026-10-02 18:10 |