Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 13:30 UTC

Final: PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Feyenoord

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Prediction 45.99%2.17fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.523%
Kelly -0.979%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.52%46.02%46.03%47.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.032.032.1553.48%49.32%49.26%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Feyenoord (Visit)

Prediction 30.81%3.25fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.342%
Kelly -0.496%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.20%30.77%30.77%32.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.003.003.2137.04%33.35%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.20%4.31fair odd
EV +0.459%
Edge +0.106%
Kelly +0.138%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.64%23.20%23.21%24.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.994.004.3327.78%25.04%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: PSV Eindhoven (Local): 45.99%; Feyenoord (Visit): 30.81%; Draw: 23.20%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.459%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -3.87%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV +0.459%E +0.106%K +0.138%G +0.001%5.1%2026-10-25 13:25
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -3.87%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV +0.459%E +0.106%K +0.138%G +0.001%5.1%2026-10-25 13:25
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.57%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.93%EV -1.10%E -0.342%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -0.933%E -0.219%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.34%EV -1.13%E -0.523%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-25 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.34%EV -1.13%E -0.523%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-25 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.34%EV -1.13%E -0.523%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-25 13:10
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 12:55
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.75%EV -4.80%E -2.32%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.15%EV -1.10%E -0.342%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.10%EV -2.79%E -0.666%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-25 13:20
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.25%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.68%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV -2.79%E -0.666%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-25 13:21
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 13:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 13:10
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.36%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.41%EV -5.57%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 10:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.36%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.41%EV -5.57%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 10:05
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.36%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.41%EV -5.57%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 10:05
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.73%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -2.94%E -0.935%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -6.04%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 13:21
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.17%EV -3.87%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24%EV -6.04%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 13:24
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 13:05
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 07:35
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 13:05
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -6.64%E -3.27%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 13:25
Betsson🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.58%EV -7.56%E -3.76%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -3.87%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -9.40%E -4.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.40%E -0.439%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 13:25
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.06%EV -4.80%E -2.32%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.11%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 13:10
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.06%EV -4.80%E -2.32%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.11%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 13:10
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.06%EV -4.80%E -2.32%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -9.11%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 13:05
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 13:24
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 12:55
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.11%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 12:55
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.29%EV -14.00%E -7.49%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.06%EV -16.81%E -6.23%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.64%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-25 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.49%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 12:50
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.05%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.11%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.37%EV -11.24%E -5.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.86%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.77%EV -8.82%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 13:05
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 13:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.17%EV -13.54%E -7.20%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.57%EV -15.27%E -5.55%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-25 13:09
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.68%EV -6.18%E -3.03%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 13:05
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.52%EV -9.86%E -5.03%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.31%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 13:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.90%EV -11.24%E -5.83%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 13:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 13:00
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 13:05
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.88%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.87%EV -9.40%E -4.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.57%EV -13.73%E -4.90%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.57%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-25 13:05
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -7.57%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -16.48%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.59%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-10-25 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.83%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-10-25 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.83%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-10-25 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.83%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-10-25 13:25
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.53%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-10-25 13:21
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-10-25 13:25