Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

PSV Eindhoven v FC Utrecht

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Prévision 65.80%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.869%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.00%65.78%65.94%68.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.351.421.421.5074.07%70.47%70.42%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Utrecht (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.77%6.77cote équitable
EV +6.96%
Avantage +0.962%
Kelly +1.12%
Croissance +0.078%

avec la cote maximale 7.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.29%14.82%14.71%16.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.306.256.407.2418.87%15.99%15.63%13.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.43%5.15cote équitable
EV +2.00%
Avantage +0.381%
Kelly +0.470%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.95%19.40%19.35%21.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.694.605.2525.00%21.31%21.74%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : PSV Eindhoven (Local) : 65.80% ; FC Utrecht (Visiteur) : 14.77% ; Match nul : 19.43%. Pour FC Utrecht (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.77. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.24, soit une espérance positive de +6.96%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.80%EV -5.25%E -3.65%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.29%EV +6.96%E +0.962%K +1.12%G +0.078%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.92%EV -6.16%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.59%E -3.17%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.39%EV +6.37%E +0.885%K +1.03%G +0.066%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -6.74%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.59%E -3.17%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.39%EV +6.37%E +0.885%K +1.03%G +0.066%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -6.74%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -6.57%E -4.62%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV +0.464%E +0.068%K +0.080%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 14:24
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -6.57%E -4.62%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV +0.464%E +0.068%K +0.080%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 14:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -9.86%E -7.19%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -1.01%E -0.151%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +1.03%E +0.197%K +0.244%G +0.003%7.1%2026-04-04 14:09
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.16%EV -6.57%E -4.62%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -3.97%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV +2.00%E +0.381%K +0.470%G +0.009%4.9%2026-04-04 14:20
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.57%E -4.62%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -3.97%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 14:09
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.97%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV +2.00%E +0.381%K +0.470%G +0.009%5.9%2026-04-04 14:24
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.88%EV -5.91%E -4.13%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -3.97%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -6.74%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:09
BetUS🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.40%EV -3.94%E -2.70%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.97%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.13%EV -13.54%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:30
BetAnything🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.40%EV -3.94%E -2.70%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.97%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.13%EV -13.54%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -5.25%E -3.65%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.97%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 12:44
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -3.97%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:09
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.86%E -7.19%K -26.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -3.97%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -4.80%E -0.980%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.95%EV -2.62%E -1.77%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.02%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -6.74%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 14:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.95%EV -2.62%E -1.77%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.02%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -6.74%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 14:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.42%EV -4.59%E -3.17%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -6.74%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 14:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -5.25%E -3.65%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 14:24
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -5.25%E -3.65%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -5.91%E -4.13%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:25
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -5.91%E -4.13%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.34%EV -6.57%E -4.62%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 13:39
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.04%EV -6.57%E -4.62%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 14:24
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.04%EV -6.57%E -4.62%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -7.23%E -5.12%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -7.23%E -5.12%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -5.45%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 14:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.25%E -3.65%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -6.18%E -0.974%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -11.60%E -2.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -7.66%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -7.66%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.84%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -7.66%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 14:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.94%EV -5.91%E -4.13%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.21%EV -8.40%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:24
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.82%EV -2.62%E -1.77%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV -11.36%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 10:15
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -11.36%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 14:20
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.25%E -3.65%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.36%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 14:08
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.36%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.36%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.36%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 14:24
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.88%E -5.63%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.36%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 14:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.31%EV -8.54%E -6.14%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -11.36%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -16.46%E -3.83%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 14:21
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.52%E -7.73%K -29.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.36%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 11:44
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.78%EV -1.30%E -0.869%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.39%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.83%EV +0.249%E +0.048%K +0.060%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -11.17%E -8.28%K -31.92%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -12.83%E -2.18%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 14:19
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -2.62%E -1.77%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -15.05%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -2.62%E -1.77%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -15.05%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.74%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -4.59%E -3.17%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -15.05%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.86%E -0.572%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.52%E -7.73%K -29.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -15.05%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -6.57%E -4.62%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -12.57%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 14:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.25%EV -6.57%E -4.62%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 14:24
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -10.52%E -7.73%K -29.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -7.72%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-04 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -10.52%E -7.73%K -29.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -22.29%E -5.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 14:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.72%EV -11.17%E -8.28%K -31.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.49%EV -21.70%E -4.09%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.79%EV -9.66%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 14:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.46%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%0.4%2026-04-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-04-04 14:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-04-04 14:25
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.86%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.81%1.0%2026-04-04 14:25
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.16%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.23%2.0%2026-04-04 14:24