L’École des cotes

PSV Eindhoven v FC Twente Enschede

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Score final : PSV Eindhoven 5–1 FC Twente Enschede

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Prévision 42.69%2.34cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.792%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.23%42.76%42.66%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.182.202.3050.00%45.84%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Twente Enschede (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.42%2.91cote équitable
EV -0.868%
Avantage -0.302%
Kelly -0.462%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.01%34.28%34.48%35.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.712.702.8840.00%36.96%37.04%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.89%4.37cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -0.747%
Kelly -0.979%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.74%22.96%22.86%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.984.004.2330.30%25.11%25.00%23.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.62%EV -1.82%E -0.792%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.04%EV -0.868%E -0.302%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.62%EV -1.82%E -0.792%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.04%EV -0.868%E -0.302%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.47%EV -1.82%E -0.792%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.27%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 07:56
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%EV -2.68%E -1.17%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:20
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%EV -2.68%E -1.17%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.49%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.75%EV -3.16%E -0.747%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 08:16
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.38%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.00%EV -4.54%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.76%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 08:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:20
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -4.99%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:20
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -4.99%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.97%EV -4.81%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:56
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.97%EV -4.81%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:56
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.97%EV -4.81%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:54
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -4.81%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:19
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -5.24%E -2.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.42%EV -6.38%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:20
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -5.24%E -2.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.42%EV -6.38%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 06:25
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 06:25
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.43%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 06:25
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.69%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.40%EV -6.03%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:03
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:00
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:08
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 06:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 08:10
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 08:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.86%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:55
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.73%EV -6.94%E -3.19%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.33%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:55
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 41.82%EV -7.80%E -3.61%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 07:56
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 41.82%EV -7.80%E -3.61%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 07:55
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 06:25
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 06:20
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 06:30
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 06:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 06:30
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 06:30
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 08:01
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 08:01
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 08:09
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 41.80%EV -8.65%E -4.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -15.30%E -4.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.80%EV -8.65%E -4.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -15.30%E -4.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:55
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 41.80%EV -8.65%E -4.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -15.30%E -4.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:55
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 41.80%EV -8.65%E -4.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -15.30%E -4.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:56
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.87%EV -9.51%E -4.48%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.14%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.99%EV -15.30%E -4.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 07:55
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 08:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.67%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 06:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 08:20
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 08:10
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%EV -11.21%E -5.39%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 06:19
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.85%EV -11.64%E -5.62%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.04%EV -11.86%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 08:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -12.49%E -6.09%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 06:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.48%EV -14.63%E -7.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-17 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -14.63%E -7.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -24.45%E -7.41%K -10.63%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-17 05:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.97%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.97%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%1.1%2026-05-17 06:45
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-05-17 08:20
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-05-17 07:56