La escuela de los momios

PSV Eindhoven v FC Twente Enschede

Inicio: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Final: PSV Eindhoven 5–1 FC Twente Enschede

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Predicción 42.69%2.34momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.792%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.23%42.76%42.66%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.202.3050.00%45.84%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Twente Enschede (Visitante)

Predicción 34.42%2.91momio equitativo
EV -0.868%
Ventaja -0.302%
Kelly -0.462%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.01%34.28%34.48%35.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.702.8840.00%36.96%37.04%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.89%4.37momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -0.747%
Kelly -0.979%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.74%22.96%22.86%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.984.004.2330.30%25.11%25.00%23.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.62%EV -1.82%E -0.792%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.04%EV -0.868%E -0.302%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.62%EV -1.82%E -0.792%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.04%EV -0.868%E -0.302%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.47%EV -1.82%E -0.792%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.27%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 07:56
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%EV -2.68%E -1.17%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:20
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%EV -2.68%E -1.17%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.49%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.75%EV -3.16%E -0.747%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 08:16
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.38%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.00%EV -4.54%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.76%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 08:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:20
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -4.99%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:20
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -4.99%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.97%EV -4.81%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:56
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.97%EV -4.81%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:56
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.97%EV -4.81%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:54
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -4.81%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:19
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -5.24%E -2.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.42%EV -6.38%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:20
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -5.24%E -2.36%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.42%EV -6.38%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 06:25
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 06:25
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.43%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 06:25
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.69%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.40%EV -6.03%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:03
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:00
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:08
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 06:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 08:10
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 08:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.86%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 07:55
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.73%EV -6.94%E -3.19%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.33%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:55
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 41.82%EV -7.80%E -3.61%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 07:56
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 41.82%EV -7.80%E -3.61%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 07:55
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -1.90%E -0.667%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 06:25
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 06:20
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 06:30
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 06:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 06:30
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 06:30
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 08:01
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 08:01
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -8.22%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 08:09
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 41.80%EV -8.65%E -4.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -15.30%E -4.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.80%EV -8.65%E -4.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -15.30%E -4.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:55
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 41.80%EV -8.65%E -4.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -15.30%E -4.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:55
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 41.80%EV -8.65%E -4.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -9.47%E -3.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -15.30%E -4.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 07:56
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.87%EV -9.51%E -4.48%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.14%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.99%EV -15.30%E -4.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 07:55
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.85%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 08:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.67%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 06:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 08:20
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 08:10
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%EV -11.21%E -5.39%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 06:19
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.85%EV -11.64%E -5.62%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.51%E -4.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.04%EV -11.86%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 08:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -12.49%E -6.09%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 06:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.48%EV -14.63%E -7.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-17 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.56%EV -14.63%E -7.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -24.45%E -7.41%K -10.63%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-17 05:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.97%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.97%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%1.1%2026-05-17 06:45
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-05-17 08:20
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-05-17 07:56