L’École des cotes

PSV Eindhoven v AZ Alkmaar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Prévision 67.02%1.49cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -4.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.01%67.06%66.96%69.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.381.401.4681.97%72.45%71.43%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AZ Alkmaar (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.82%6.75cote équitable
EV +3.74%
Avantage +0.534%
Kelly +0.623%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.14%14.79%14.89%16.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.306.436.407.0018.87%15.56%15.63%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.16%5.51cote équitable
EV -0.141%
Avantage -0.026%
Kelly -0.031%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.96%18.16%18.14%20.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.205.095.105.5023.81%19.65%19.61%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -4.83%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV -0.141%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 18:55
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -4.83%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV -0.141%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -0.141%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 18:54
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -0.141%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.50%EV -0.141%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 18:33
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 18:09
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.61%EV -7.51%E -5.44%K -19.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.86%EV -3.77%E -0.712%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 18:40
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.61%EV -7.51%E -5.44%K -19.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.86%EV -3.77%E -0.712%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 18:55
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.85%E -6.51%K -24.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 18:54
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.85%E -6.51%K -24.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 18:40
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.85%E -6.51%K -24.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 18:54
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.85%E -6.51%K -24.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 18:54
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.85%EV -9.52%E -7.05%K -27.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -5.59%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 18:54
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.85%EV -9.52%E -7.05%K -27.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -5.59%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 18:54
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.85%E -6.51%K -24.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 18:34
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -10.86%E -8.16%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV +3.74%E +0.534%K +0.623%G +0.023%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -5.59%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:34
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 67.75%EV -4.83%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 14.13%EV +0.924%E +0.136%K +0.159%G +0.001%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.12%EV -3.59%E -0.676%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 18:45
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.53%EV -2.15%E -1.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.77I 14.77%NM 14.35%EV +0.331%E +0.049%K +0.057%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 19.12%EV -7.77%E -1.53%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.67%EV -10.19%E -7.60%K -29.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV +0.035%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -5.59%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:55
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.76%EV -11.53%E -8.73%K -36.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV +0.035%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -7.40%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 18:39
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.76%EV -11.53%E -8.73%K -36.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV +0.035%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -7.40%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -9.52%E -7.05%K -27.19%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -0.706%E -0.105%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -0.141%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 18:04
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 67.32%EV -5.50%E -3.90%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -3.67%E -0.565%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 18:04
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.67%E -0.565%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:04
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -3.67%E -0.565%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:19
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.86%E -8.16%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.67%E -0.565%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 18:34
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.08%EV -6.84%E -4.92%K -17.53%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -4.41%E -0.684%K -0.809%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -8.31%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 18:55
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.97%EV -3.49%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.84%EV -5.15%E -0.805%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.19%EV -10.13%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 18:53
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.97%EV -3.49%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.84%EV -5.15%E -0.805%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.19%EV -10.13%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 18:54
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 66.57%EV -5.50%E -3.90%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -7.38%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -7.40%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 18:54
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 66.57%EV -5.50%E -3.90%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -7.38%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -7.40%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 18:55
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -7.38%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 18:54
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -7.38%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 18:19
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 65.84%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -7.38%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:55
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.13%EV -8.85%E -6.51%K -24.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -7.38%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 18:40
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.99%EV -10.86%E -8.16%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -7.38%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 18:34
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.73%EV -5.50%E -3.90%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -8.12%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -5.59%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 18:39
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.49%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.08%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.49%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.08%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 18:15
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.16%E -2.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -11.08%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 18:14
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.83%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -11.08%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -4.68%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 18:39
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -11.08%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 16:34
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -11.08%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.22%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 18:44
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -11.08%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.85%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 18:14
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -11.08%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.85%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 18:14
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -11.08%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.85%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 18:14
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -11.08%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.85%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.01%EV -10.86%E -8.16%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -11.08%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -23.74%E -5.65%K -7.42%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-07 18:44
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 68.09%EV -18.23%E -14.94%K -82.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.85%EV -11.08%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.06%EV -16.48%E -3.58%K -4.58%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-07 18:34
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.80%EV -12.87%E -9.90%K -42.90%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.72%EV -12.56%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.48%EV -14.67%E -3.12%K -3.96%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-07 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.50%EV -10.19%E -7.60%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -14.79%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.00%EV -10.13%E -2.05%K -2.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 18:53
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -7.51%E -5.44%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -17.01%E -3.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -5.59%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 18:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.02%EV -10.86%E -8.16%K -32.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -17.01%E -3.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -12.85%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 18:40
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -8.85%E -6.51%K -24.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -18.49%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -13.76%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-07 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.35%EV -9.52%E -7.05%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -21.45%E -4.05%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -11.03%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.36%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.80%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.84%0.1%2026-03-07 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.13%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.5%2026-03-07 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.13%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.5%2026-03-07 18:54
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.13%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.5%2026-03-07 18:54
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85%0.9%2026-03-07 18:55
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.81%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.30%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%1.6%2026-03-07 18:55