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NEC Nijmegen v Groningen

2026-10-25 13:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Prediction 45.77%2.18fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.39%45.68%45.72%46.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.012.042.1054.05%49.86%49.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Groningen (Visit)

Prediction 29.94%3.34fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.29%29.99%29.86%30.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.003.2335.71%32.97%33.33%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.30%4.12fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.704%
Kelly -0.939%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.58%24.34%24.42%25.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.704.0028.57%26.78%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: NEC Nijmegen (Local): 45.77%; Groningen (Visit): 29.94%; Draw: 24.30%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -2.82%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.75%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.74%EV -3.30%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.51%EV -4.76%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 14:20
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -2.82%E -0.704%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:29
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -2.82%E -0.704%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.89%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 12:19
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 13:44
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.19%EV -7.09%E -3.49%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 12:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.77%EV -7.09%E -3.49%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.78%EV -6.60%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 13:40
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.25%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 15:13
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -10.75%E -5.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.68%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-11 12:20
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -10.75%E -5.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.18%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -14.97%E -4.28%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-11 12:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -11.21%E -5.78%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -14.68%E -5.15%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -11.32%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-11 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.50%EV -11.67%E -6.05%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.77%EV -11.69%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.74%EV -13.75%E -3.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-11 12:18
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.91%EV -12.13%E -6.32%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.80%EV -16.18%E -5.78%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -13.75%E -3.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-11 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.71%EV -15.33%E -8.29%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.29%EV -11.69%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -12.54%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-11 12:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%170.3%2026-10-11 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%170.3%2026-10-11 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 15:20