Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord

Início: 2026-09-05 14:30 UTC

Final: NEC Nijmegen 1–3 Feyenoord

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Previsão 34.45%2.90odd justa
EV +3.36%
Vantagem +1.12%
Kelly +1.68%
Crescimento +0.056%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.50%34.40%34.51%36.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.732.753.0041.67%36.60%36.36%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Feyenoord (Visitante)

Previsão 42.00%2.38odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.06%42.06%41.89%43.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.072.192.202.3148.31%45.61%45.45%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.55%4.25odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.259%
Kelly -0.340%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.68%23.54%23.60%24.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.703.944.004.2027.03%25.41%25.00%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: NEC Nijmegen (Local): 34.45%; Feyenoord (Visitante): 42.00%; Empate: 23.55%. Para NEC Nijmegen (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.90. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.36%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%EV +3.36%E +1.12%K +1.68%G +0.056%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.72%EV -6.34%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%EV -3.44%E -0.840%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV +1.63%E +0.554%K +0.838%G +0.014%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.81%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.44%E -0.840%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68%EV +1.63%E +0.554%K +0.838%G +0.014%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.81%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.44%E -0.840%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -0.089%E -0.031%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.65%EV -8.86%E -4.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -1.81%E -0.636%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -1.81%E -0.636%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:35
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -1.81%E -0.636%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -1.81%E -0.636%K -0.979%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -10.12%E -4.73%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.89%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.05%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.44%E -0.840%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 02:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.89%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.05%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.44%E -0.840%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 02:50
BetUS🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.89%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.05%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.44%E -0.840%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 02:49
BetAnything🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.89%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.89%EV -6.76%E -3.05%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.44%E -0.840%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 02:48
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -3.53%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -1.09%E -0.259%K -0.340%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.53%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -3.53%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.44%E -0.840%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.53%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 11:40
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.53%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 11:40
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.53%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 11:40
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -3.53%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.11%EV -4.22%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.58%EV -4.25%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:30
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.11%EV -4.22%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.58%EV -4.25%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:30
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.81%EV -4.91%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.59%EV -2.99%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.60%EV -4.15%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:55
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.25%EV -13.06%E -6.31%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.25%EV -13.06%E -6.31%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.25%EV -13.06%E -6.31%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.13%EV -5.60%E -2.04%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -2.99%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.20%EV -2.27%E -0.546%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.98%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.06%EV -3.83%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:40
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.98%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:48
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.98%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:53
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.98%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.98%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.44%E -0.840%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 13:34
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.98%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 13:30
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -6.98%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 13:39
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -6.98%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 13:30
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -6.98%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 13:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -6.98%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -6.98%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 13:29
Bovada🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.12%EV -7.67%E -2.86%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -5.09%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24%EV -4.62%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:32
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -7.67%E -2.86%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -5.92%E -2.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:48
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.09%EV -8.01%E -3.00%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.95%EV -8.86%E -4.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 13:35
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%EV -8.70%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.44%E -0.840%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.70%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.47%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -8.70%E -3.28%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -9.39%E -3.57%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.30%EV -5.50%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.74%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 13:40
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -10.42%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.60%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -5.80%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 13:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.85%EV -11.46%E -4.46%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.27%EV -8.86%E -4.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -12.15%E -4.76%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.64%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -13.87%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 13:35
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -13.87%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -9.70%E -4.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.04%EV -17.31%E -7.21%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.19%EV -11.80%E -5.62%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -10.51%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-04 13:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.08%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.08%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.08%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.31%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.13%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.73%2.3%2026-09-04 14:35