L’École des cotes

NEC Nijmegen v FC Volendam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Prévision 73.46%1.36cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -2.30%
Kelly -9.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.24%73.38%73.48%75.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.261.271.3286.96%79.10%78.74%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Volendam (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.62%9.42cote équitable
EV +6.20%
Avantage +0.620%
Kelly +0.689%
Croissance +0.043%

avec la cote maximale 10.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.54%10.71%10.59%13.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.758.869.0010.0014.81%11.29%11.11%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 15.92%6.28cote équitable
EV +3.49%
Avantage +0.538%
Kelly +0.635%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.70%15.91%15.93%19.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.845.856.5022.22%17.14%17.09%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.88%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +6.20%E +0.620%K +0.689%G +0.043%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -0.486%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 14:25
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.88%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +6.20%E +0.620%K +0.689%G +0.043%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -0.486%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.18%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +6.20%E +0.620%K +0.689%G +0.043%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -0.486%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:04
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +6.20%E +0.620%K +0.689%G +0.043%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 15:15
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.03%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +3.01%E +0.310%K +0.346%G +0.010%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.20%EV -6.85%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 18:34
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 74.03%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +3.01%E +0.310%K +0.346%G +0.010%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.20%EV -6.85%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 18:40
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.49%E +0.538%K +0.635%G +0.022%4.7%2026-03-08 18:49
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.49%E +0.538%K +0.635%G +0.022%4.7%2026-03-08 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.49%E +0.538%K +0.635%G +0.022%4.7%2026-03-08 18:49
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.49%E +0.538%K +0.635%G +0.022%4.7%2026-03-08 18:49
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:55
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 74.60%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.35%EV -0.964%E -0.155%K -0.185%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -2.87%E -0.471%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:05
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -2.87%E -0.471%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:04
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.44%E -5.91%K -28.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:25
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.44%E -5.91%K -28.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:25
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.44%E -5.91%K -28.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:25
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 16:14
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:05
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:05
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:04
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:49
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 73.98%EV -7.44%E -5.91%K -28.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.54%EV -9.65%E -7.84%K -41.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 18:04
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 18:04
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -4.42%E -0.491%K -0.553%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 09:24
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -4.42%E -0.491%K -0.553%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:40
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -4.42%E -0.491%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:55
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -4.42%E -0.491%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -16.41%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 18:50
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.42%E -0.491%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 18:50
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.89%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.60%EV -6.55%E -0.744%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -10.04%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:54
Bovada1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -7.08%E -0.809%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 18:49
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -4.50%E -3.47%K -15.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -9.73%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 09:24
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -9.73%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:25
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.74%EV -8.91%E -7.19%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -9.73%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -6.06%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 18:50
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -9.73%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 18:50
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.22%EV -10.79%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 10:00
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.62%EV -3.77%E -2.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV -12.39%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 09:24
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 73.30%EV -3.04%E -2.30%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.22I 12.17%NM 11.77%EV -12.71%E -1.55%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.93%EV +3.18%E +0.490%K +0.580%G +0.018%3.4%2026-03-08 18:54
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.44%E -5.91%K -28.63%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.18%EV -12.92%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -9.24%E -1.62%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -4.50%E -3.47%K -15.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 09:24
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 07:15
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 18:55
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 18:55
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 18:55
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 09:25
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -16.41%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 70.24%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.71%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -28.35%E -6.30%K -8.10%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-08 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.55%EV -9.65%E -7.84%K -41.94%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.51%EV -17.70%E -2.28%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -10.84%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 18:34
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -7.44%E -5.91%K -28.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -20.35%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.46%EV -6.06%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 09:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.02%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -20.35%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -14.02%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-08 18:30
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 72.35%EV -11.85%E -9.88%K -59.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.58%EV -20.35%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.08%EV -14.02%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-08 18:54
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 72.53%EV -15.52%E -13.50%K -103.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.12%EV -20.35%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.35%EV -18.80%E -3.69%K -4.58%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-08 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.96%EV -8.91%E -7.19%K -37.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -28.32%E -4.20%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 10:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-03-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-03-08 18:44
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-03-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.70%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90%1.4%2026-03-08 18:55
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.85%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81%2.0%2026-03-08 18:50
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 73.72%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.71%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%2.8%2026-03-08 18:50