La escuela de los momios

NEC Nijmegen v FC Volendam

Inicio: 2026-03-08 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Predicción 73.46%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -2.30%
Kelly -9.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.24%73.38%73.48%75.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.261.271.3286.96%79.10%78.74%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Volendam (Visitante)

Predicción 10.62%9.42momio equitativo
EV +6.20%
Ventaja +0.620%
Kelly +0.689%
Crecimiento +0.043%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.54%10.71%10.59%13.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.758.869.0010.0014.81%11.29%11.11%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 15.92%6.28momio equitativo
EV +3.49%
Ventaja +0.538%
Kelly +0.635%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.70%15.91%15.93%19.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.845.856.5022.22%17.14%17.09%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.88%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +6.20%E +0.620%K +0.689%G +0.043%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -0.486%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 14:25
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.88%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +6.20%E +0.620%K +0.689%G +0.043%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -0.486%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.18%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +6.20%E +0.620%K +0.689%G +0.043%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -0.486%E -0.078%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:04
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +6.20%E +0.620%K +0.689%G +0.043%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 15:15
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.03%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +3.01%E +0.310%K +0.346%G +0.010%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.20%EV -6.85%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 18:34
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 74.03%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +3.01%E +0.310%K +0.346%G +0.010%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.20%EV -6.85%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 18:40
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.49%E +0.538%K +0.635%G +0.022%4.7%2026-03-08 18:49
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.49%E +0.538%K +0.635%G +0.022%4.7%2026-03-08 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.49%E +0.538%K +0.635%G +0.022%4.7%2026-03-08 18:49
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.49%E +0.538%K +0.635%G +0.022%4.7%2026-03-08 18:49
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:55
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 74.60%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.35%EV -0.964%E -0.155%K -0.185%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -2.87%E -0.471%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:05
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -2.87%E -0.471%K -0.564%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:04
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.44%E -5.91%K -28.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:25
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.44%E -5.91%K -28.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:25
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -7.44%E -5.91%K -28.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:25
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.71%E -5.28%K -24.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 16:14
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:05
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:05
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:04
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:49
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 73.98%EV -7.44%E -5.91%K -28.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.54%EV -9.65%E -7.84%K -41.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 18:04
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV +0.888%E +0.093%K +0.104%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -7.65%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 18:04
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -4.42%E -0.491%K -0.553%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 09:24
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -4.42%E -0.491%K -0.553%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:40
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -4.42%E -0.491%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:55
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -4.42%E -0.491%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -16.41%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 18:50
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.42%E -0.491%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 18:50
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.89%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.60%EV -6.55%E -0.744%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -10.04%E -1.78%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 18:54
Bovada1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05%EV -5.97%E -4.67%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -7.08%E -0.809%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 18:49
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -4.50%E -3.47%K -15.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -9.73%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 09:24
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -9.73%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:25
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.74%EV -8.91%E -7.19%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -9.73%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -6.06%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 18:50
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -9.73%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 18:50
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.22%EV -10.79%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 10:00
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.62%EV -3.77%E -2.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV -12.39%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.47%E -0.744%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 09:24
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 73.30%EV -3.04%E -2.30%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.22I 12.17%NM 11.77%EV -12.71%E -1.55%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.93%EV +3.18%E +0.490%K +0.580%G +0.018%3.4%2026-03-08 18:54
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -7.44%E -5.91%K -28.63%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.18%EV -12.92%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -9.24%E -1.62%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -4.50%E -3.47%K -15.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 09:24
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.45%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 07:15
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 18:55
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 18:55
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -5.24%E -4.06%K -18.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 18:55
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 09:25
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -8.18%E -6.54%K -32.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -16.41%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 70.24%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.71%EV -15.04%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -28.35%E -6.30%K -8.10%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-08 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.55%EV -9.65%E -7.84%K -41.94%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.51%EV -17.70%E -2.28%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -10.84%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 18:34
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -7.44%E -5.91%K -28.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -20.35%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.46%EV -6.06%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 09:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.02%EV -10.38%E -8.51%K -47.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -20.35%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -14.02%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-08 18:30
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 72.35%EV -11.85%E -9.88%K -59.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.58%EV -20.35%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.08%EV -14.02%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-08 18:54
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 72.53%EV -15.52%E -13.50%K -103.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.12%EV -20.35%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.35%EV -18.80%E -3.69%K -4.58%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-08 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.96%EV -8.91%E -7.19%K -37.13%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -28.32%E -4.20%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -12.43%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 10:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-03-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-03-08 18:44
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%0.9%2026-03-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.70%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90%1.4%2026-03-08 18:55
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.85%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81%2.0%2026-03-08 18:50
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 73.72%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.71%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%2.8%2026-03-08 18:50