La scuola delle quote

NAC Breda v Sparta Rotterdam

Inizio: 2026-04-05 14:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

NAC Breda (Casa)

Previsione 42.73%2.34quota equa
EV -1.72%
Vantaggio -0.746%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.73%42.71%42.74%43.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.172.182.3050.00%46.00%45.87%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sparta Rotterdam (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.34%3.30quota equa
EV -0.798%
Vantaggio -0.244%
Kelly -0.352%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.16%30.36%30.33%31.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.083.103.2735.71%32.50%32.26%30.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.93%3.71quota equa
EV -3.05%
Vantaggio -0.847%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.09%26.93%26.93%28.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.443.453.6033.33%29.09%28.99%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.25%EV -1.72%E -0.746%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.38%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.25%EV -1.72%E -0.746%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.38%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 14:30
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.13%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -0.798%E -0.244%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%EV -3.86%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 14:35
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -3.05%E -0.847%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 14:29
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:30
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:25
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:30
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 14:18
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -2.01%E -0.623%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.92%EV -3.32%E -0.924%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.37%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -1.40%E -0.432%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -3.05%E -0.847%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 14:30
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.21%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.40%E -0.432%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 14:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.21%EV -4.71%E -2.11%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.40%E -0.432%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -4.39%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 14:30
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -5.14%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:39
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -5.14%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:30
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.17%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.44%EV -5.35%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.05%E -0.847%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:29
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 14:40
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 14:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 14:30
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 14:30
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 14:30
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 14:40
BetAnything2.19I 45.66%NM 42.80%EV -6.42%E -2.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -5.35%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 14:30
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.20%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 14:30
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.77%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -6.56%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -6.82%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 14:30
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -7.27%E -3.35%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 14:30
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -7.27%E -3.35%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 14:30
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -7.70%E -3.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 14:30
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 14:40
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 14:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 14:40
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 14:35
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 14:30
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 14:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 14:39
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 14:39
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 14:35
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -8.13%E -3.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -13.54%E -4.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -7.09%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 14:25
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.41%E -4.44%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.41%E -4.44%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 14:30
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.26%E -4.89%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 14:30
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.26%E -4.89%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.26%E -4.89%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 14:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.26%E -4.89%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 14:25
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.26%E -4.89%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 14:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.26%E -4.89%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.63%E -4.39%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 14:30
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -10.26%E -4.89%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 14:25
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.26%E -4.89%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -15.06%E -5.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 14:24
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.93%EV -11.12%E -5.35%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.58%EV -11.42%E -3.91%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -9.24%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 14:30
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.04%EV -12.40%E -6.05%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.22%EV -11.42%E -3.91%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -14.54%E -7.27%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -15.06%E -5.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -19.21%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-05 14:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.32%0.3%2026-04-05 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-04-05 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-04-05 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-04-05 14:40
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-04-05 14:35
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-04-05 14:25