A Escola das Odds

NAC Breda v Feyenoord

Início: 2026-03-08 15:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

NAC Breda (Local)

Previsão 23.68%4.22odd justa
EV +2.29%
Vantagem +0.529%
Kelly +0.689%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.22%23.69%23.63%25.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.453.954.004.3228.99%25.31%25.00%23.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Feyenoord (Visitante)

Previsão 51.30%1.95odd justa
EV -3.56%
Vantagem -1.90%
Kelly -4.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.07%51.25%51.32%52.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.641.811.821.8860.98%55.23%54.95%53.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.03%4.00odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -0.614%
Kelly -0.826%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.14%25.06%25.05%26.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.683.703.9031.25%27.19%27.03%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 casa de apostas oferece um número de opções diferente neste mercado (2 opções, em vez das 3 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet4.32I 23.15%NM 22.50%EV +2.29%E +0.529%K +0.689%G +0.016%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.26%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%EV -3.65%E -0.947%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 15:35
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%EV -0.554%E -0.132%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.48%EV -3.56%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 15:09
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%EV -0.554%E -0.132%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.48%EV -3.56%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 15:09
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -0.554%E -0.132%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 15:10
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.554%E -0.132%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 14:19
Pinnacle4.19I 23.87%NM 23.05%EV -0.791%E -0.189%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.93%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.02%EV -3.40%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 15:15
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 15:04
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 15:04
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:50
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:25
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 14:50
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 14:50
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 14:50
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 14:50
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 04:19
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 14:20
Bovada4.05I 24.69%NM 23.23%EV -4.11%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.69%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 14:38
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -4.11%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -6.90%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 14:39
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 14:50
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 14:50
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 14:25
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 14:14
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:09
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -8.18%E -4.57%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 15:09
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:40
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:39
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:39
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 14:19
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.67%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 15:30
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.55%EV -9.21%E -5.20%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 15:09
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.55%EV -9.21%E -5.20%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 15:10
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.40%E -0.614%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 15:40
BetAnything3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.40%E -0.614%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 15:39
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.40%E -0.614%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 15:40
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.40%E -0.614%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 15:39
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 15:40
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 14:49
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -8.84%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -3.65%E -0.947%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 14:19
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.84%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:05
Fliff3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -8.84%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -9.21%E -5.20%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 15:39
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.91%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 14:20
Betclic (FR)3.78I 26.46%NM 23.60%EV -10.50%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.27%EV -10.75%E -6.18%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 15:17
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:34
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:35
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 14:15
Parions Sport (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -12.80%E -7.53%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -14.34%E -8.58%K -21.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -17.41%E -5.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-08 14:44
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:34
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:35
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 22.66%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 51.13%EV -15.88%E -9.68%K -24.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -19.91%E -6.22%K -9.05%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-08 14:45
NetBet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 23.87%EV -13.58%E -3.72%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.24%EV -12.80%E -7.53%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 15:39
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 15:25
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 24.96%EV -18.31%E -5.31%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.07%EV -11.77%E -6.84%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.96%EV -13.66%E -3.96%K -5.57%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-07 15:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-03-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-03-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-03-08 15:30
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-03-08 15:30
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-03-08 15:40
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-03-08 15:40

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (1)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Margem ▲Atualização
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 31.86%1.87I 53.48%NM 68.14%-21.5%2026-03-07 22:15