L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 4.32
avec la cote maximale 1.88
avec la cote maximale 3.90
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (2 issues, contre le format 3 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.50%EV +2.29%E +0.529%K +0.689%G +0.016% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.26%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%EV -3.65%E -0.947%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 15:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%EV -0.554%E -0.132%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.48%EV -3.56%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%EV -0.554%E -0.132%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.48%EV -3.56%E -1.90%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 15:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -0.554%E -0.132%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 15:10 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.554%E -0.132%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 14:19 |
| Pinnacle | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.05%EV -0.791%E -0.189%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.93%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.02%EV -3.40%E -0.880%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 15:15 |
| NordicBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 15:04 |
| Betsson | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 15:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 14:50 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 15:25 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 14:50 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 14:50 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 14:50 |
| BetRivers | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 04:19 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 14:20 |
| Bovada | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.23%EV -4.11%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.69%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 14:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -4.11%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -6.90%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 14:25 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 14:14 |
| Grosvenor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 15:09 |
| TABtouch | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -8.18%E -4.57%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 15:09 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:40 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.67%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 14:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.67%EV -4.59%E -2.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.55%EV -9.21%E -5.20%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 15:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.55%EV -9.21%E -5.20%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 15:10 |
| BetUS | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.40%E -0.614%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 15:40 |
| BetAnything | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.40%E -0.614%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.40%E -0.614%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -2.40%E -0.614%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 15:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 14:49 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -8.84%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.08%E -2.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -3.65%E -0.947%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 14:19 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.84%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 15:05 |
| Fliff | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -8.84%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -9.21%E -5.20%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 15:39 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.91%E -4.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-08 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.60%EV -10.50%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.27%EV -10.75%E -6.18%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -11.15%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 15:17 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 15:34 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 14:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -12.80%E -7.53%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 15:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -14.34%E -8.58%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -17.41%E -5.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-08 14:44 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 15:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.66%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 51.13%EV -15.88%E -9.68%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -19.91%E -6.22%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-08 14:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.87%EV -13.58%E -3.72%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.24%EV -12.80%E -7.53%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -12.41%E -3.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-08 15:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.90%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.96%EV -18.31%E -5.31%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.07%EV -11.77%E -6.84%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.96%EV -13.66%E -3.96%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 15:30 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.98% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 15:30 |
| Kalshi | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 15:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.20% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 15:40 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 31.86% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 68.14% | -21.5% | 2026-03-07 22:15 |