L’École des cotes

Groningen v Go Ahead Eagles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 18:08 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Groningen (Local)

Prévision 54.58%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.669%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.55%54.62%54.44%55.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.591.711.711.8162.89%58.44%58.48%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Go Ahead Eagles (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.48%4.45cote équitable
EV +2.95%
Avantage +0.645%
Kelly +0.825%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 4.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.98%22.41%22.55%23.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.144.204.5826.67%24.15%23.81%21.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.94%4.36cote équitable
EV -0.665%
Avantage -0.153%
Kelly -0.200%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.17%22.97%23.01%24.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.004.004.3326.67%25.00%25.00%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.25%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.11%EV +2.95%E +0.645%K +0.825%G +0.024%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.64%EV -6.17%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 17:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.65%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 18:04
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:02
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.85%E -5.30%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:05
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:59
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -9.94%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 18:04
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.58%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.21%EV -2.67%E -0.616%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.21%EV -0.665%E -0.153%K -0.200%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 18:04
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -9.40%E -5.66%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -2.67%E -0.616%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.14%EV -1.76%E -0.976%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -3.34%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -3.65%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 18:04
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.34%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 18:05
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.87%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.34%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -8.69%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 18:00
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.55%EV -1.21%E -0.669%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -4.47%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 18:05
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.55%EV -1.21%E -0.669%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -4.47%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 18:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -4.47%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -4.79%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 18:03
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -4.47%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -4.79%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 18:03
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.53%EV -2.85%E -1.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.95%EV -4.91%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.52%EV -1.12%E -0.261%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 17:59
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -3.39%E -1.92%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:05
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.65%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 18:05
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.65%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 18:04
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.79%EV -3.94%E -2.24%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 18:05
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 18:01
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:05
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 17:52
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 17:59
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 18:00
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.94%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -12.82%E -3.37%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 18:05
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:05
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:05
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 17:59
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -7.76%E -4.59%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.65%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 18:02
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:05
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:05
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 17:59
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 17:59
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 18:01
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 18:05
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:59
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:04
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:59
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:05
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:05
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.58%E -7.15%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -13.97%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 18:05
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.48%EV -10.49%E -6.40%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -11.21%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 17:59
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -8.31%E -4.94%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 18:04
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 54.44%EV -13.22%E -8.31%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.48%EV -13.46%E -3.50%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -13.97%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-11 18:05
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.85%E -5.30%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -14.58%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 18:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -10.49%E -6.40%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 18:05
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.98%EV -11.03%E -6.77%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 18:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-04-11 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-04-11 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-04-11 18:05
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-04-11 18:05
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-04-11 18:05
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%2.8%2026-04-11 18:05