La escuela de los momios

Groningen v Go Ahead Eagles

Inicio: 2026-04-11 18:08 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Groningen (Local)

Predicción 54.58%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.669%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.55%54.62%54.44%55.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.711.711.8162.89%58.44%58.48%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Go Ahead Eagles (Visitante)

Predicción 22.48%4.45momio equitativo
EV +2.95%
Ventaja +0.645%
Kelly +0.825%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.98%22.41%22.55%23.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.144.204.5826.67%24.15%23.81%21.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.94%4.36momio equitativo
EV -0.665%
Ventaja -0.153%
Kelly -0.200%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.17%22.97%23.01%24.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.004.004.3326.67%25.00%25.00%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.25%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.11%EV +2.95%E +0.645%K +0.825%G +0.024%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.64%EV -6.17%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 17:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.65%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 18:04
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:02
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.85%E -5.30%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:05
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:59
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -9.94%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.322%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 18:04
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.58%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.21%EV -2.67%E -0.616%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.21%EV -0.665%E -0.153%K -0.200%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 18:04
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -9.40%E -5.66%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -2.67%E -0.616%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.14%EV -1.76%E -0.976%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -3.34%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%EV -3.65%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 18:04
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.34%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 18:05
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.87%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.34%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -8.69%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 18:00
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.55%EV -1.21%E -0.669%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -4.47%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 18:05
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.55%EV -1.21%E -0.669%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%EV -4.47%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 18:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -4.47%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -4.79%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 18:03
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -4.47%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -4.79%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 18:03
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.53%EV -2.85%E -1.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.95%EV -4.91%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.52%EV -1.12%E -0.261%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 17:59
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -3.39%E -1.92%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 18:05
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.65%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 18:05
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.65%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 18:04
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.79%EV -3.94%E -2.24%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 18:05
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 18:01
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.03%E -2.89%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:05
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 17:52
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 17:59
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 18:00
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.94%E -6.03%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -12.82%E -3.37%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 18:05
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:05
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.48%E -2.56%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:05
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 17:59
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -7.76%E -4.59%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.65%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 18:02
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:05
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:05
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 17:59
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.58%E -3.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 17:59
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 18:01
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -6.67%E -3.90%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 18:05
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:59
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:04
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:59
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:05
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:05
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.58%E -7.15%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -13.97%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 18:05
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.48%EV -10.49%E -6.40%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -11.21%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 17:59
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -8.31%E -4.94%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 18:04
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 54.44%EV -13.22%E -8.31%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.48%EV -13.46%E -3.50%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -13.97%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-11 18:05
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.85%E -5.30%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -14.58%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 18:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -10.49%E -6.40%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 18:05
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.98%EV -11.03%E -6.77%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 18:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-04-11 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-04-11 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.4%2026-04-11 18:05
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-04-11 18:05
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-04-11 18:05
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%2.8%2026-04-11 18:05