The School of Odds
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Go Ahead Eagles v SC Telstar

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 18:00 UTC

Final: Go Ahead Eagles 3–2 SC Telstar

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Go Ahead Eagles (Local)

Prediction 62.72%1.59fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -5.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.72%62.59%62.86%64.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.481.481.5570.92%67.37%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Telstar (Visit)

Prediction 17.18%5.82fair odd
EV +4.81%
Edge +0.789%
Kelly +0.944%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.91%17.28%17.04%19.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.415.506.1021.28%18.49%18.18%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.10%4.98fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.387%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.87%20.13%20.10%21.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.564.544.9023.81%21.95%22.03%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Go Ahead Eagles (Local): 62.72%; SC Telstar (Visit): 17.18%; Draw: 20.10%. For SC Telstar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.82. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.98%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.05%EV +4.81%E +0.789%K +0.944%G +0.045%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.2%2026-10-23 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.98%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.05%EV +4.81%E +0.789%K +0.944%G +0.045%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.2%2026-10-23 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.28%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +4.81%E +0.789%K +0.944%G +0.045%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -1.51%E -0.308%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-23 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.45%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.94%EV +3.95%E +0.653%K +0.783%G +0.031%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.61%EV -5.93%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-23 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.92%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.17%EV +0.517%E +0.088%K +0.107%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.20%E -0.209%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 15:54
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.20%E -0.209%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 15:50
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -1.20%E -0.209%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 15:59
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.74%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.32%EV -1.37%E -0.239%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.53%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 15:50
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.95%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.90%EV -2.40%E -0.423%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.15%EV -8.74%E -1.93%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 14:43
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -3.78%E -0.675%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 15:55
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -3.78%E -0.675%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -3.78%E -0.675%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 15:45
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -3.78%E -0.675%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.64%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 15:06
picklebet_au🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 15:06
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-23 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 15:40
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 14:43
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -12.96%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 15:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -12.96%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -12.96%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -12.96%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 15:50
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 15:45
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 15:54
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-23 15:55
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 15:50
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -5.50%E -0.999%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 15:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.73%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -7.22%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.11%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -7.22%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -12.56%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.07%EV -8.43%E -5.78%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -8.93%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.83%EV -12.56%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.07%EV -8.43%E -5.78%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -8.93%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.83%EV -12.56%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.23%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -8.93%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.74%EV -12.56%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.79%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.79%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -12.56%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-23 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.79%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -12.56%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-23 15:40
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.79%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -12.56%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-23 15:35
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.79%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -12.56%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-23 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.91%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -9.79%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 15:06
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -9.79%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 15:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.31%EV -10.31%E -7.21%K -23.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -9.79%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -13.57%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-23 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.06%EV -10.31%E -7.21%K -23.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.07%EV -10.65%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.88%EV -14.57%E -3.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-23 15:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.54%EV -11.57%E -8.20%K -28.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.96%EV -10.65%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.51%EV -13.57%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-23 15:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.65%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.37%E -2.43%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.54%EV -6.53%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-23 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -14.09%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 15:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -14.09%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 15:06
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -14.09%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 15:06
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.92%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.09%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 11:05
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -14.09%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -12.96%E -2.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-23 15:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.68%EV -11.57%E -8.20%K -28.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.09%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -9.55%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-23 15:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.09%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.58%E -3.71%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-23 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.26%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -15.81%E -3.23%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.52%E -0.733%K -0.926%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-23 15:49
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.25%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -18.38%E -3.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -4.52%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.59%EV -9.06%E -6.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -19.24%E -4.09%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -7.54%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-23 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.36%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%1.2%2026-10-23 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.36%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%1.2%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.36%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%1.2%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.36%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%1.2%2026-10-23 15:55
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.36%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%1.2%2026-10-23 15:50
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%1.9%2026-10-23 15:50