La escuela de los momios

Go Ahead Eagles v FC Twente Enschede

Inicio: 2026-03-08 13:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Go Ahead Eagles (Local)

Predicción 21.15%4.73momio equitativo
EV +3.63%
Ventaja +0.741%
Kelly +0.930%
Crecimiento +0.034%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.31%21.17%21.05%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.464.404.9025.32%22.41%22.73%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Twente Enschede (Visitante)

Predicción 56.02%1.79momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -4.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.93%56.06%56.04%58.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.651.671.7365.79%60.71%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.84%4.38momio equitativo
EV +0.475%
Ventaja +0.108%
Kelly +0.140%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.73%22.78%22.91%24.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.094.104.4029.41%24.43%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.63%E +0.741%K +0.930%G +0.034%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.42%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%EV +0.475%E +0.108%K +0.140%G +0.001%3.7%2026-03-08 13:20
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.63%E +0.741%K +0.930%G +0.034%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.42%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%EV +0.475%E +0.108%K +0.140%G +0.001%3.7%2026-03-08 13:19
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.53%EV +3.63%E +0.741%K +0.930%G +0.034%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.72%EV -8.69%E -5.33%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV +0.475%E +0.108%K +0.140%G +0.001%4.5%2026-03-08 13:14
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV +3.63%E +0.741%K +0.930%G +0.034%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -1.81%E -0.421%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 13:20
1xBet4.83I 20.70%NM 20.09%EV +2.15%E +0.445%K +0.561%G +0.012%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.08%EV -3.09%E -1.79%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.84%EV -7.06%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 13:20
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV +1.51%E +0.315%K +0.398%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%EV -9.81%E -6.10%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.81%E -0.421%K -0.548%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 13:19
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV +1.51%E +0.315%K +0.398%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%EV -9.81%E -6.10%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.81%E -0.421%K -0.548%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 13:14
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV +1.51%E +0.315%K +0.398%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%EV -9.81%E -6.10%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.81%E -0.421%K -0.548%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 13:20
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV +1.51%E +0.315%K +0.398%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.49%EV -9.81%E -6.10%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.81%E -0.421%K -0.548%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 13:19
BetRivers4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV +0.456%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -10.37%E -6.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -2.95%E -0.694%K -0.908%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:15
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV +0.456%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.83%EV -12.05%E -7.68%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -2.95%E -0.694%K -0.908%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 13:14
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV +0.456%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.83%EV -12.05%E -7.68%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -2.95%E -0.694%K -0.908%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV -0.601%E -0.128%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.71%EV -12.62%E -8.09%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 13:14
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.601%E -0.128%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.55%EV -13.18%E -8.50%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.38%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 13:20
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -0.601%E -0.128%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.55%EV -13.18%E -8.50%K -23.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.38%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 13:20
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -2.72%E -0.590%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -1.12%E -0.259%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 13:25
Pinnacle4.58I 21.83%NM 21.06%EV -3.14%E -0.685%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.09%E -1.79%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.19%EV -5.01%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 13:15
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.83%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.33%E -3.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.38%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 13:04
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.83%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.33%E -3.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.38%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 13:09
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.83%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 13:24
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -4.83%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.08%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.38%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 13:24
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.83%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.66%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:10
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -4.83%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.72%EV -7.01%E -4.22%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.94%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 13:05
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.83%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -10.94%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 13:14
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.32%EV -5.89%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -5.23%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 13:24
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.32%EV -5.89%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -5.23%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 13:25
Bovada4.45I 22.47%NM 21.13%EV -5.89%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -5.33%E -3.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 13:22
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -5.89%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.25%EV -7.01%E -4.22%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.38%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:05
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +0.475%E +0.108%K +0.140%G +0.001%3.6%2026-03-08 13:24
BetAnything4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +0.475%E +0.108%K +0.140%G +0.001%3.6%2026-03-08 13:25
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +0.475%E +0.108%K +0.140%G +0.001%3.6%2026-03-08 13:25
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.65%E -2.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV +0.475%E +0.108%K +0.140%G +0.001%3.6%2026-03-08 13:25
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -1.81%E -0.421%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 13:20
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 13:14
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -5.33%E -3.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 13:14
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.66%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 13:25
Fliff4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -9.80%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 13:25
PlayUp4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -8.00%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -12.08%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.64%EV -4.77%E -2.81%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 13:14
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.66%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 13:04
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -10.94%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 13:05
William Hill4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -10.94%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 13:04
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -10.94%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 13:05
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -10.94%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 13:04
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.57%E -4.59%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.23%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 13:14
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.06%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.89%E -3.51%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 13:24
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -10.12%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 13:20
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -10.12%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -6.45%E -3.86%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.66%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 13:14
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 20.98%EV -10.12%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.44%EV -11.49%E -7.28%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58%EV -9.80%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 13:25
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -9.25%E -5.71%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -17.79%E -4.94%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 12:49
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.10%EV -13.18%E -8.50%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -14.37%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 13:10
Parions Sport (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 21.11%EV -12.23%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.15%EV -12.62%E -8.09%K -22.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -12.08%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-08 13:24
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -13.29%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.13%E -4.96%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -6.38%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 13:24
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.37%E -6.48%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.66%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -12.05%E -7.68%K -21.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -22.36%E -6.58%K -9.32%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-08 13:09
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 20.94%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 55.12%EV -14.86%E -9.77%K -28.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.94%EV -20.08%E -5.74%K -8.03%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-08 13:05
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.16%EV -16.46%E -4.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.40%EV -11.49%E -7.28%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.44%EV -10.94%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-08 13:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-08 13:25
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-08 13:25
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.73%1.1%2026-03-08 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.5%2026-03-08 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.5%2026-03-08 13:15
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-03-08 13:10