L’École des cotes

Fortuna Sittard v SC Telstar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fortuna Sittard (Local)

Prévision 41.05%2.44cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.963%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.91%41.04%41.02%42.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.272.302.3850.00%44.00%43.48%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Telstar (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.93%3.04cote équitable
EV +2.40%
Avantage +0.772%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 3.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.21%32.95%32.94%33.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.812.803.1139.22%35.54%35.71%32.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.02%3.84cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.647%
Kelly -0.882%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.27%26.01%26.04%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.563.603.7533.33%28.06%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.83%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.21%EV +2.40%E +0.772%K +1.14%G +0.027%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.96%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 13:24
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.38%EV -3.93%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.60%EV -2.21%E -0.744%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -3.21%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 13:15
BetUS2.37I 42.19%NM 40.92%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 13:24
BetAnything2.37I 42.19%NM 40.92%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 13:25
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.92%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 13:25
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.92%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -2.87%E -0.972%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 13:25
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -5.58%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.42%E -0.647%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 12:44
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.58%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 12:39
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.68%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 13:14
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -2.29%E -0.963%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.58%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV -2.42%E -0.647%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 13:24
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -2.29%E -0.963%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.58%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV -2.42%E -0.647%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 13:25
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -2.29%E -0.963%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.58%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV -2.42%E -0.647%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 13:24
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -5.58%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.00%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 13:25
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.34%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 13:24
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%EV -2.29%E -0.963%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 13:20
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%EV -2.29%E -0.963%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 13:15
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 13:19
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.68%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 13:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.58%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 13:20
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.58%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 13:19
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 13:14
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 12:49
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 12:44
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 12:45
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -6.16%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 13:20
Bovada2.31I 43.29%NM 40.68%EV -5.17%E -2.24%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.21%EV -6.82%E -2.41%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 13:15
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.74%EV -5.99%E -2.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -7.48%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.85%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 13:24
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 13:24
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 13:24
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 13:25
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 13:24
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 13:24
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.58%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 13:24
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 13:25
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 13:25
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 13:20
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 12:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 13:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.81%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 13:00
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.91%EV -12.55%E -5.89%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -8.80%E -3.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -10.23%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 13:25
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.58%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 13:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.58%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 13:25
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 13:25
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.68%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -9.45%E -3.44%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 13:14
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -8.45%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 13:24
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.60%EV -8.45%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 13:24
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.68%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 13:19
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.73%E -5.46%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 13:09
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -11.73%E -5.46%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-08 13:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.79%E -6.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-08 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -13.79%E -6.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -11.10%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -21.94%E -7.31%K -10.97%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-08 12:58
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.04%EV -12.97%E -6.12%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.59%EV -12.09%E -4.53%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-08 13:23
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -11.73%E -5.46%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -14.39%E -5.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 13:20
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.67%EV -17.89%E -8.95%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.68%EV -16.04%E -6.29%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.64%EV -15.43%E -4.75%K -6.86%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-08 13:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-08 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-03-08 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.11%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-03-08 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-03-08 13:25
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.99%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%1.7%2026-03-08 13:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-03-08 13:25