The School of Odds
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Fortuna Sittard v SC Telstar

2026-11-07 15:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fortuna Sittard (Local)

Prediction 46.12%2.17fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.52%46.10%46.13%47.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.972.002.0955.56%50.69%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Telstar (Visit)

Prediction 27.33%3.66fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.60%27.23%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.263.303.5534.48%30.66%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.55%3.77fair odd
EV +0.884%
Edge +0.233%
Kelly +0.316%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%26.30%26.64%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.463.403.8030.30%28.87%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fortuna Sittard (Local): 46.12%; SC Telstar (Visit): 27.33%; Draw: 26.55%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.80, producing a positive expected value of +0.884%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -12.53%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.884%E +0.233%K +0.316%G +0.003%6.3%2026-10-25 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.90%EV -6.38%E -3.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -13.90%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV +0.884%E +0.233%K +0.316%G +0.003%7.3%2026-10-25 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -15.27%E -4.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV +0.884%E +0.233%K +0.316%G +0.003%8.6%2026-10-25 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.46%E -2.66%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 18:42
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.07%E -5.16%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -18.00%E -6.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -4.43%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 18:35
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.96%EV -3.61%E -1.73%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -2.97%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.98%EV -5.49%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 18:16
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.69%E -4.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.03%EV -6.84%E -3.39%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.70%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.03%EV -8.67%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 19:10
picklebet_au🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.07%E -5.16%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -10.07%E -5.16%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -20.73%E -7.15%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -9.74%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-25 18:32
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -12.38%E -6.51%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -12.53%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -11.06%E -3.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-25 16:35
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 17:35
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.76%E -3.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -13.30%E -7.07%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.42%EV -14.22%E -7.65%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.41%EV -13.90%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-25 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.83%EV -16.99%E -9.44%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-25 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 45.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.21%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.21%16.7%2026-10-25 16:35