Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Feyenoord v Groningen

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Feyenoord (Local)

Prediction 58.08%1.72fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.21%57.93%58.18%58.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.611.7066.67%62.04%62.11%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Groningen (Visit)

Prediction 20.15%4.96fair odd
EV +0.730%
Edge +0.146%
Kelly +0.182%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.29%20.24%20.06%21.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.614.625.0024.39%21.69%21.65%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.77%4.59fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -0.952%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.25%21.83%21.75%24.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.174.204.4028.57%23.96%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Feyenoord (Local): 58.08%; Groningen (Visit): 20.15%; Draw: 21.77%. For Groningen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.730%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.47%EV -1.27%E -0.744%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.54%EV +0.730%E +0.146%K +0.182%G +0.001%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.99%EV -7.46%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-24 00:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60%EV -2.43%E -1.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +0.730%E +0.146%K +0.182%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -8.55%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.60%EV -2.43%E -1.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +0.730%E +0.146%K +0.182%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -8.55%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 15:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.50%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -1.29%E -0.262%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -10.72%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 15:44
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.65%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -1.29%E -0.262%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -10.72%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:44
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.42%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.86%EV -5.71%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 09:24
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.71%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 09:24
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.72%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:45
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.72%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:44
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -10.72%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.55%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 13:05
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.55%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -12.90%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -3.30%E -0.687%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -12.90%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:44
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -4.19%E -0.952%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%EV -5.28%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 14:34
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.21%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.37%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.46%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -4.31%E -0.907%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 15:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -4.19%E -0.952%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 02:39
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.19%E -0.952%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.46%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.24%E -5.21%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -13.99%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.24%E -5.21%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -13.99%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.75%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -5.31%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -13.99%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 15:44
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.37%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.36%EV -6.32%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -7.46%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:20
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.37%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.36%EV -6.32%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -7.46%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:20
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.21%EV -2.43%E -1.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.80%EV -6.93%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.99%EV -4.84%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -5.71%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.19%E -0.952%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.37%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.90%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 09:24
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.90%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 09:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.90%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 09:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.90%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 09:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.77%EV -9.98%E -6.44%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -7.33%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -7.46%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 14:32
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.28%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.46%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:13
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.55%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 15:14
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.55%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -7.07%E -4.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.72%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 02:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.55%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 14:52
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.06%EV -9.98%E -6.44%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.34%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -10.72%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 14:34
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.09%EV -9.54%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.19%E -0.952%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:15
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.19%EV -10.35%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -5.28%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 17:16
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.56%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -11.36%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.72%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:20
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.55%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 03:20
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.90%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.02%EV -12.77%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.77%EV -23.79%E -6.80%K -9.52%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.37%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.37%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:19
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.37%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:19
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.37%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -10.56%E -6.86%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -8.55%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.00%EV -11.72%E -7.71%K -22.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -13.37%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -10.72%E -2.62%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -15.39%E -3.66%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.55%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 09:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.44%EV -12.88%E -8.59%K -25.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.02%EV -17.40%E -4.24%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.54%EV -12.90%E -3.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 17:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.71%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86%2.0%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.71%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86%2.0%2026-04-24 00:35
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.42%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37%2.9%2026-04-24 00:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.17%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%2.9%2026-04-24 00:44
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.22%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%4.1%2026-04-23 21:35