Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Feyenoord v Go Ahead Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 12:30 UTC

Final: Feyenoord 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Feyenoord (Local)

Prediction 75.96%1.32fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -13.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%75.84%75.92%78.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.221.221.2786.21%81.70%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Go Ahead Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 9.73%10.28fair odd
EV +7.00%
Edge +0.637%
Kelly +0.700%
Growth +0.049%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.43%9.75%9.81%11.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.569.5011.0013.33%10.46%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.31%6.99fair odd
EV +14.48%
Edge +1.81%
Kelly +2.07%
Growth +0.300%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.10%14.42%14.27%16.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.536.508.0018.18%15.31%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Feyenoord (Local): 75.96%; Go Ahead Eagles (Visit): 9.73%; Draw: 14.31%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.99. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.68%EV -6.57%E -5.34%K -28.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.22%EV +2.14%E +0.204%K +0.225%G +0.005%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.10%EV +14.48%E +1.81%K +2.07%G +0.300%3.3%2026-08-16 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.06%EV -6.57%E -5.34%K -28.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.14%EV +2.14%E +0.204%K +0.225%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.80%EV +7.32%E +0.977%K +1.13%G +0.083%4.2%2026-08-16 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.06%EV -6.57%E -5.34%K -28.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.14%EV +2.14%E +0.204%K +0.225%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.80%EV +7.32%E +0.977%K +1.13%G +0.083%4.2%2026-08-16 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -7.33%E -6.00%K -33.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.72%E -0.272%K -0.303%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV +7.32%E +0.977%K +1.13%G +0.083%5.3%2026-08-16 12:00
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.67%EV -6.57%E -5.34%K -28.55%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.93%EV +4.09%E +0.382%K +0.421%G +0.017%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.40%EV +2.03%E +0.285%K +0.331%G +0.007%4.7%2026-08-16 12:20
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.26%EV -3.53%E -2.78%K -13.07%G +0.000%9.63I 10.38%NM 10.06%EV -6.32%E -0.657%K -0.733%G +0.000%7.08I 14.12%NM 13.68%EV +1.31%E +0.186%K +0.216%G +0.003%3.2%2026-08-16 12:24
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -7.33%E -6.00%K -33.30%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +7.00%E +0.637%K +0.700%G +0.049%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +0.169%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:04
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -7.33%E -6.00%K -33.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -12.45%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +0.169%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 12:00
Casumo🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.91%EV -8.09%E -6.68%K -38.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +0.169%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.91%EV -8.09%E -6.68%K -38.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +0.169%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 12:00
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.91%EV -8.09%E -6.68%K -38.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +0.169%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:59
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.49%EV -8.09%E -6.68%K -38.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -12.45%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +0.169%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 12:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.42%EV -7.33%E -6.00%K -33.30%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +7.00%E +0.637%K +0.700%G +0.049%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 12:05
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -7.33%E -6.00%K -33.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -2.72%E -0.272%K -0.303%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 12:09
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.27%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.45%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.593%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.82%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -17.32%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.593%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 12:05
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.82%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -17.32%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -3.41%E -0.505%K -0.593%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 12:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.31%EV -7.33%E -6.00%K -33.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.89%EV -4.12%E -0.615%K -0.723%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 12:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.09%EV -8.09%E -6.68%K -38.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +2.14%E +0.204%K +0.225%G +0.005%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -4.84%E -0.728%K -0.856%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.93%EV -5.81%E -4.68%K -24.19%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.81%EV -6.62%E -0.689%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -5.55%E -0.842%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 12:05
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -3.53%E -2.78%K -13.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 11:45
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +2.14%E +0.204%K +0.225%G +0.005%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 12:23
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.19%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +2.14%E +0.204%K +0.225%G +0.005%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -2.72%E -0.272%K -0.303%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 12:04
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 11:44
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 11:44
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -5.81%E -4.68%K -24.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 12:04
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -7.33%E -6.00%K -33.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -2.72%E -0.272%K -0.303%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +7.00%E +0.637%K +0.700%G +0.049%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 12:05
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -8.09%E -6.68%K -38.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 12:14
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -2.72%E -0.272%K -0.303%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:08
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -2.72%E -0.272%K -0.303%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.77%EV -8.09%E -6.68%K -38.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -22.18%E -2.77%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.74%EV -10.36%E -8.78%K -57.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -17.32%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.74%EV -10.36%E -8.78%K -57.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -17.32%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.74%EV -10.36%E -8.78%K -57.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -17.32%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 12:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.89%EV -11.88%E -10.24%K -74.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.39%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -6.99%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 12:18
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.92%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.23%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.85%EV -10.02%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.42%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 12:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.89%EV -3.53%E -2.78%K -13.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.10%EV -9.85%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 12:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.89%EV -3.53%E -2.78%K -13.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.10%EV -9.85%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 12:10
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.89%EV -3.53%E -2.78%K -13.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.10%EV -9.85%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 12:09
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.89%EV -3.53%E -2.78%K -13.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.10%EV -9.85%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.52%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -22.18%E -2.77%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -10.56%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 12:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.52%EV -9.60%E -8.07%K -50.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -12.45%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.49%EV -11.28%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 12:05
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.33%E -6.00%K -33.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.33%E -6.00%K -33.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.33%E -6.00%K -33.30%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:25
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.33%E -6.00%K -33.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -12.45%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.23%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.23%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -14.14%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 12:15
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -7.59%E -0.799%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -17.72%E -3.08%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 12:14
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -8.85%E -7.37%K -44.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -17.32%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -17.72%E -3.08%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 12:14
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.42%EV -3.53%E -2.78%K -13.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +2.14%E +0.204%K +0.225%G +0.005%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.58%EV -18.43%E -3.23%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 11:55
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.42%EV -3.53%E -2.78%K -13.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +2.14%E +0.204%K +0.225%G +0.005%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.58%EV -18.43%E -3.23%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -27.04%E -3.61%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -21.30%E -3.87%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 11:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.86%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.47%0.3%2026-08-16 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.86%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.47%0.3%2026-08-16 12:20
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.86%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.47%0.3%2026-08-16 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.57%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.79%0.7%2026-08-16 12:20
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 77.56%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%0.7%2026-08-16 12:25
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.39%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.85%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-08-16 12:20