The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Feyenoord v Go Ahead Eagles

2026-08-16 12:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Feyenoord (Local)

Prediction 66.08%1.51fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -9.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.52%66.08%66.32%66.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4573.53%71.32%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Go Ahead Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 15.66%6.39fair odd
EV +8.83%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.131%

assuming max odds 6.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.81%15.66%15.64%17.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.916.006.9520.00%16.92%16.67%14.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.26%5.48fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -0.785%
Kelly -0.969%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.86%18.26%18.04%19.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.945.005.2522.22%20.24%20.00%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Feyenoord (Local): 66.08%; Go Ahead Eagles (Visit): 15.66%; Draw: 18.26%. For Go Ahead Eagles (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.39. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.95, producing a positive expected value of +8.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.65%EV -4.85%E -3.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.81%EV +8.83%E +1.27%K +1.48%G +0.131%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.55%EV -10.33%E -2.10%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.86%EV -4.85%E -3.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.17%EV -2.13%E -0.340%K -0.405%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -8.69%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 11:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -6.04%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -8.69%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 11:49
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.83%E -4.84%K -16.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.04%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -4.12%E -0.785%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 11:49
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.55%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.04%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.03%E -0.968%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 11:48
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -6.04%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -15.99%E -3.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.82%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -8.69%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.82%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -8.69%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 11:49
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.52%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -21.70%E -4.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -17.82%E -3.96%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-08 11:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.