The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:30 UTC

Final: Feyenoord 1–1 Fortuna Sittard

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Feyenoord (Local)

Prediction 81.87%1.22fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -18.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.05%81.85%81.82%83.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.141.141.1892.59%87.63%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fortuna Sittard (Visit)

Prediction 6.67%14.99fair odd
EV +13.44%
Edge +0.791%
Kelly +0.840%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 17.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.66%6.67%6.66%9.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5013.7414.0017.0010.53%7.28%7.14%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.46%8.73fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +0.349%
Kelly +0.393%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.69%11.48%11.53%12.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.608.038.009.0015.15%12.45%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Feyenoord (Local): 81.87%; Fortuna Sittard (Visit): 6.67%; Draw: 11.46%. For Fortuna Sittard (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.99. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.42%EV -4.22%E -3.60%K -24.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.74%EV +13.44%E +0.791%K +0.840%G +0.113%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.84%EV +3.14%E +0.349%K +0.393%G +0.012%2.5%2026-10-31 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.42%EV -4.22%E -3.60%K -24.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.74%EV +13.44%E +0.791%K +0.840%G +0.113%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.84%EV +3.14%E +0.349%K +0.393%G +0.012%2.5%2026-10-31 15:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.53%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.47%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +13.44%E +0.791%K +0.840%G +0.113%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.77%EV +3.14%E +0.349%K +0.393%G +0.012%3.2%2026-10-31 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.65%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +13.44%E +0.791%K +0.840%G +0.113%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.69%EV +3.14%E +0.349%K +0.393%G +0.012%3.9%2026-10-31 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.41%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.02%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.74%EV +10.11%E +0.613%K +0.652%G +0.066%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 15:20
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.06%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%15.73I 6.36%NM 5.95%EV +4.97%E +0.316%K +0.337%G +0.017%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -10.61%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.81%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.47%G +0.000%15.28I 6.54%NM 6.29%EV +1.97%E +0.129%K +0.138%G +0.003%8.81I 11.35%NM 10.90%EV +0.967%E +0.110%K +0.124%G +0.001%4.1%2026-10-31 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.63%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.62%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 6.12%EV +1.77%E +0.116%K +0.124%G +0.002%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.25%EV -4.88%E -0.588%K -0.668%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 11:35
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.26%EV -4.22%E -3.60%K -24.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.42%EV +0.098%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.32%EV -2.59%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 15:10
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.51%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +0.098%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -2.59%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 15:25
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.51%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +0.098%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -2.59%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +0.098%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -2.59%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 15:25
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +0.098%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +0.098%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -11.18%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.62%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +0.098%E +0.007%K +0.007%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 08:19
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.08%EV -4.22%E -3.60%K -24.80%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.62%EV -3.24%E -0.223%K -0.240%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.30%EV -2.59%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.21%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.47%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.58%EV -3.24%E -0.223%K -0.240%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -2.59%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-30 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.21%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.47%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.58%EV -3.24%E -0.223%K -0.240%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -2.59%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-30 00:05
BetUS🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.21%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.47%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.58%EV -3.24%E -0.223%K -0.240%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -2.59%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-30 00:05
BetAnything🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.21%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.47%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.58%EV -3.24%E -0.223%K -0.240%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -2.59%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-30 00:05
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.40%EV -3.40%E -2.88%K -18.88%G +0.000%14.40I 6.94%NM 6.67%EV -3.91%E -0.271%K -0.292%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.93%EV -7.74%E -0.962%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 15:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.68%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.47%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.77%EV -6.58%E -0.470%K -0.506%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.55%EV -6.02%E -0.735%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 15:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.47%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -6.58%E -0.470%K -0.506%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.14%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.02%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -6.58%E -0.470%K -0.506%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -2.59%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.94%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -6.58%E -0.470%K -0.506%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.39%EV -6.02%E -0.735%K -0.837%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.70%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -6.58%E -0.470%K -0.506%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.70%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -6.58%E -0.470%K -0.506%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 13:40
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.70%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -6.58%E -0.470%K -0.506%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 13:40
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.70%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -6.58%E -0.470%K -0.506%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 13:40
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -6.58%E -0.470%K -0.506%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -4.22%E -3.60%K -24.80%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -2.59%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 15:10
picklebet_au🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.02%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 15:25
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.72%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.02%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -2.59%E -0.304%K -0.345%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 15:00
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.44%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.02%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -5.45%E -0.661%K -0.752%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 15:24
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.85%E -5.09%K -39.02%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 11:59
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 12:00
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 08:20
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.25%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 08:19
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -9.13%E -8.22%K -82.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -9.13%E -8.22%K -82.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -13.25%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.62%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -16.59%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 14:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.62%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -16.59%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.62%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -16.59%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.71%EV -8.31%E -7.42%K -69.25%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -16.59%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.99%EV -9.95%E -9.04%K -99.47%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.13%EV -16.59%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 13:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.13%EV -10.77%E -9.88%K -119.62%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.07%EV -16.59%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.79%EV -14.05%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-31 15:25
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.04%E -4.34%K -31.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -19.92%E -1.66%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -19.92%E -1.66%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 11:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.28%EV -9.13%E -8.22%K -82.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -19.92%E -1.66%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.29%EV -16.91%E -2.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 15:10
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.10%EV -7.49%E -6.63%K -57.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.13%EV -26.60%E -2.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -19.78%E -2.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 15:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 79.25%EV -11.58%E -10.73%K -144.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.78%EV -26.60%E -2.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 12.97%EV -24.36%E -3.69%K -4.35%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-31 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.93%EV -6.67%E -5.85%K -47.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -29.93%E -2.85%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -8.32%E -1.04%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 78.05%EV -9.13%E -8.22%K -82.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.12%EV -36.60%E -3.85%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.83%EV -22.64%E -3.35%K -3.94%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-31 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.38%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.84%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%0.8%2026-10-31 15:25
Matchbook◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.32%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.67%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02%0.9%2026-10-31 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.00%1.0%2026-10-31 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.00%1.0%2026-10-31 15:25
Smarkets◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.30%17.01I 5.88%NM 5.78%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.92%1.7%2026-10-31 15:25
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.90%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.81%1.7%2026-10-31 15:20

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