Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.34
assuming max odds 9.20
assuming max odds 6.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Feyenoord (Local): 71.99%; FC Utrecht (Visit): 11.56%; Draw: 16.45%. For FC Utrecht (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.65. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.32%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.69%EV -4.97%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.29%EV +6.32%E +0.687%K +0.771%G +0.049% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -13.61%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.55%EV -5.69%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.36%EV +4.59%E +0.507%K +0.570%G +0.026% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.09%EV -14.77%E -2.85%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.07%EV -4.26%E -3.20%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 9.02I 11.09%NM 10.63%EV +4.24%E +0.470%K +0.529%G +0.022% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.84%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +4.01%E +0.446%K +0.502%G +0.020% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.27%E -0.212%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +4.01%E +0.446%K +0.502%G +0.020% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.27%E -0.212%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +4.01%E +0.446%K +0.502%G +0.020% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.27%E -0.212%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 09:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -7.85%E -6.14%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +4.01%E +0.446%K +0.502%G +0.020% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -8.57%E -6.75%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +4.01%E +0.446%K +0.502%G +0.020% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -4.56%E -0.787%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 09:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.13%EV -4.26%E -3.20%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 8.79I 11.38%NM 10.91%EV +1.59%E +0.180%K +0.204%G +0.003% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.95%EV -6.87%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV +1.12%E +0.128%K +0.145%G +0.002% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 09:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.69%EV -7.85%E -6.14%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.69%EV +0.545%E +0.063%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -7.86%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.16%EV -4.26%E -3.20%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.56%E -0.787%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.16%EV -4.26%E -3.20%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.56%E -0.787%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.16%EV -4.26%E -3.20%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.56%E -0.787%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.31%EV -4.97%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV -4.56%E -0.787%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -5.69%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -1.27%E -0.212%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 09:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -5.69%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -1.27%E -0.212%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 09:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -5.69%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -1.27%E -0.212%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 09:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -5.69%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -1.27%E -0.212%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 09:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.85%E -6.14%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 09:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -13.61%E -2.59%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -8.57%E -6.75%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.77%E -0.208%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.50%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 09:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.32%EV -4.97%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV -4.66%E -0.564%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.27%EV -10.32%E -1.89%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 10:07 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.26%E -3.20%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -5.69%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.85%E -6.14%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -4.56%E -0.787%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.86%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -7.86%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.50%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-20 09:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.58%EV -7.85%E -6.14%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -11.15%E -2.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -17.73%E -3.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -17.73%E -3.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -17.73%E -3.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -17.73%E -3.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.74%EV -8.57%E -6.75%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -11.15%E -2.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.74%EV -8.57%E -6.75%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -11.15%E -2.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.74%EV -8.57%E -6.75%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -11.15%E -2.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.74%EV -8.57%E -6.75%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -11.15%E -2.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -7.54%E -0.943%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -17.73%E -3.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.75%EV -5.69%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.05%EV -9.86%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -4.56%E -0.787%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 09:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -3.54%E -2.64%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -13.32%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -4.26%E -3.20%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.32%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -4.26%E -3.20%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.32%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -4.26%E -3.20%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.32%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.39%E -0.937%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.47%EV -7.85%E -6.14%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -13.32%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.34%EV -7.86%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.14%EV -9.29%E -7.38%K -35.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -13.32%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -12.79%E -2.41%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.30%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -13.32%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.82%EV -12.79%E -2.41%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -13.32%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -17.73%E -3.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.12%EV -8.57%E -6.75%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -16.21%E -2.24%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -9.50%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.44%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.06%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.32%EV -16.21%E -2.24%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -9.50%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.17%EV -10.01%E -8.01%K -40.06%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.36%EV -16.79%E -2.33%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.47%EV -11.15%E -2.06%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 09:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -19.10%E -2.73%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -17.73%E -3.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-20 09:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.21% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.21% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.21% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.21% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 10:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.35% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-20 10:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.57% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.79% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.64% | 2.2% | 2026-09-20 09:55 |