مدرسة الاحتمالات

Feyenoord v Excelsior

البداية: 2026-03-15 13:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Feyenoord (المضيف)

التنبؤ 71.70%1.39السعر العادل
EV -3.21%
الأفضلية -2.38%
Kelly -9.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.23%71.63%71.76%73.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.171.291.301.3585.47%77.37%76.92%74.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Excelsior (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.83%8.45السعر العادل
EV +6.51%
الأفضلية +0.723%
Kelly +0.814%
النمو +0.053%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.61%11.94%11.76%14.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.257.908.009.0016.00%12.66%12.50%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 16.47%6.07السعر العادل
EV +8.04%
الأفضلية +1.23%
Kelly +1.45%
النمو +0.116%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.76%16.44%16.48%19.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.705.756.5622.22%17.53%17.39%15.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.75%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.49%EV -15.03%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.76%EV +8.04%E +1.23%K +1.45%G +0.116%3.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.91%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.84%EV +6.51%E +0.723%K +0.814%G +0.053%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%EV +5.40%E +0.844%K +1.00%G +0.054%2.5%2026-03-15 13:25
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 73.18%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +2.93%E +0.469%K +0.559%G +0.016%3.5%2026-03-15 13:25
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 73.18%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +2.93%E +0.469%K +0.559%G +0.016%3.5%2026-03-15 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.63%EV -7.51%E -5.82%K -25.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.93%E +0.469%K +0.559%G +0.016%5.3%2026-03-15 13:25
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.05%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.59I 11.64%NM 11.22%EV +1.66%E +0.193%K +0.218%G +0.004%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.73%EV +0.958%E +0.156%K +0.187%G +0.002%3.7%2026-03-15 13:15
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.51%E -5.82%K -25.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.464%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 12:40
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 73.51%EV -8.23%E -6.43%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.464%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 13:25
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 73.51%EV -8.23%E -6.43%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.464%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 13:25
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 73.51%EV -8.23%E -6.43%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.464%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 13:25
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -8.95%E -7.04%K -33.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV +0.464%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 13:21
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +6.51%E +0.723%K +0.814%G +0.053%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.18%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.02%EV -8.23%E -6.43%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.40%EV -2.96%E -0.361%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.18%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 13:25
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -8.95%E -7.04%K -33.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -1.18%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 13:25
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -8.95%E -7.04%K -33.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -1.18%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -10.38%E -8.30%K -41.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -1.18%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -11.10%E -8.95%K -46.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -1.18%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 13:25
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -11.10%E -8.95%K -46.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -1.18%E -0.197%K -0.237%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 13:25
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.55%EV -2.96%E -0.361%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.18%EV -3.65%E -0.625%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 13:24
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.55%EV -2.96%E -0.361%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.18%EV -3.65%E -0.625%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 13:25
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.46%EV -10.06%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.33%EV -4.48%E -0.772%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 13:05
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -8.95%E -7.04%K -33.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -4.48%E -0.772%K -0.933%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 13:25
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.91%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.34%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV -5.30%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 13:25
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.44%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV +3.55%E +0.406%K +0.458%G +0.016%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.63%EV -5.30%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 13:25
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.71%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -5.30%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 13:15
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.24%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.30%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 13:25
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.30%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -5.30%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:13
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -5.30%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:10
BetAnything1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -5.30%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:10
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -7.51%E -5.82%K -25.90%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.51%EV -4.14%E -0.511%K -0.583%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.30%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 13:25
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -8.23%E -6.43%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -5.30%E -0.922%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.55%EV -7.51%E -5.82%K -25.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -20.12%E -2.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -6.12%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 13:05
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.42%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 13:25
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -11.24%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -9.42%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 13:25
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 70.59%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.55%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.21%EV -8.28%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -9.42%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -11.24%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.42%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 13:25
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.22%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.95%EV -8.28%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -9.42%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 13:20
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -8.23%E -6.43%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +0.591%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -9.42%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 13:25
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -11.24%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -9.42%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 04:30
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -17.16%E -2.45%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.42%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 13:25
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -17.16%E -2.45%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.42%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -17.16%E -2.45%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.42%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 13:20
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -17.16%E -2.45%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.42%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 13:25
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -6.79%E -5.23%K -22.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -17.16%E -2.45%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.42%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 13:14
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.07%EV -9.66%E -7.67%K -37.16%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.35%EV -14.20%E -1.96%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -11.07%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 13:03
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -12.53%E -10.27%K -56.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.85%EV -20.12%E -2.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.06%EV -11.07%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-15 13:24
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.31%EV -8.95%E -7.04%K -33.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.08%EV -26.04%E -4.17%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.61%EV -12.71%E -2.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 13:05
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -4.64%E -3.49%K -14.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.54%E -2.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 13:25
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.85%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -2.37%E -0.287%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -13.54%E -2.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 13:25
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 70.76%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -13.54%E -2.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 13:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.35%EV -10.38%E -8.30%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.74%EV -18.34%E -2.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.91%EV -14.36%E -2.76%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 13:05
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -10.38%E -8.30%K -41.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.33%E -0.666%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -17.65%E -3.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 13:25
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.38%E -8.30%K -41.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -11.24%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -17.65%E -3.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-15 13:25
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 71.67%EV -16.12%E -13.77%K -94.80%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.57%EV -14.20%E -1.96%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.77%EV -17.65%E -3.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -10.38%E -8.30%K -41.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -11.24%E -1.50%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -25.89%E -5.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-15 13:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.62%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%0.6%2026-03-15 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.62%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%0.6%2026-03-15 13:25
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 73.92%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%1.0%2026-03-15 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.91%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.24%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%1.7%2026-03-15 13:25
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 74.05%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.18%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.77%2.3%2026-03-15 13:25
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 73.72%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.71%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%2.8%2026-03-15 13:25