L’École des cotes

Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 14:45 UTC

Score final : Feyenoord 1–1 AZ Alkmaar

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Feyenoord (Local)

Prévision 47.92%2.09cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -3.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.26%47.98%47.95%50.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.941.952.0254.64%51.59%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AZ Alkmaar (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.41%3.65cote équitable
EV +1.40%
Avantage +0.379%
Kelly +0.520%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.30%27.31%27.41%28.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.423.403.7031.25%29.22%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.67%4.05cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.330%
Kelly -0.440%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.69%24.71%24.63%26.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.733.754.0031.25%26.83%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.29%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%EV +1.40%E +0.379%K +0.520%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 14:24
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.29%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV +1.40%E +0.379%K +0.520%G +0.007%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.48%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -10.38%E -5.55%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.40%E +0.379%K +0.520%G +0.007%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 14:24
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -1.34%E -0.371%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.07%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -2.71%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.07%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -2.71%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -2.71%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:24
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.53%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -3.79%E -0.971%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 14:25
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 09:47
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:35
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:35
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 14:24
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:24
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:24
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:24
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 13:49
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 13:48
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 13:09
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 13:10
BetAnything1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 14:35
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:34
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -7.73%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:34
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:24
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -1.32%E -0.330%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 14:25
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -3.79%E -0.971%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 14:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 09:49
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 09:49
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:23
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 09:50
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 09:50
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:24
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.42%E -4.99%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 14:24
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.42%E -4.99%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 14:25
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 14:24
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.38%E -5.55%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.54%EV -10.38%E -5.55%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.93%EV -7.64%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 14:32
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -10.38%E -5.55%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.79%E -0.971%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:24
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 09:50
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 13:49
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 14:24
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 09:50
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 09:49
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 09:50
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -11.34%E -6.13%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -12.30%E -6.72%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -21.06%E -6.58%K -9.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-10 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 13:09
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -12.30%E -6.72%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 14:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-05-10 14:35
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-05-10 14:34
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-05-10 14:34