La escuela de los momiosFeyenoord v AZ Alkmaar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Feyenoord (Local)
Predicción 47.92%2.09momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -3.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.26%47.98%47.95%50.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.941.952.0254.64%51.59%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AZ Alkmaar (Visitante)
Predicción 27.41%3.65momio equitativo
EV +1.40%
Ventaja +0.379%
Kelly +0.520%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.30%27.31%27.41%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.423.403.7031.25%29.22%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.67%4.05momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.330%
Kelly -0.440%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.69%24.71%24.63%26.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.733.754.0031.25%26.83%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.29%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%EV +1.40%E +0.379%K +0.520%G +0.007% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.29%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV +1.40%E +0.379%K +0.520%G +0.007% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.48%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -10.38%E -5.55%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.40%E +0.379%K +0.520%G +0.007% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -1.34%E -0.371%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.07%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -2.71%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.07%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -2.71%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -2.71%E -0.763%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.53%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -3.79%E -0.971%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 09:47 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 13:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 13:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 13:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| BetUS | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -7.73%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -1.32%E -0.330%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -3.79%E -0.971%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| Bovada | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 09:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 09:50 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.42%E -4.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.42%E -4.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.38%E -5.55%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.54%EV -10.38%E -5.55%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.93%EV -7.64%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -10.38%E -5.55%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.79%E -0.971%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.25%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 09:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.47%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 09:50 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 09:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -11.34%E -6.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -8.95%E -4.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -12.30%E -6.72%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -21.06%E -6.58%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 13:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -12.30%E -6.72%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |