L’École des cotes

Feyenoord v Ajax

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Feyenoord (Local)

Prévision 49.36%2.03cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.84%49.33%49.45%50.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.891.911.9658.82%52.90%52.36%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ajax (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.66%3.75cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.363%
Kelly -0.498%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.32%26.65%26.59%27.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.473.503.7031.75%28.78%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.97%4.17cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -0.904%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.37%24.02%23.96%26.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.843.904.0230.77%26.02%25.64%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.97%EV -3.24%E -1.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -5.34%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 12:50
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.97%EV -3.24%E -1.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -5.34%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 12:50
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.97%EV -3.24%E -1.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -5.34%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 12:49
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.64%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.16%EV -1.34%E -0.363%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.20%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 13:00
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.64%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.16%EV -1.34%E -0.363%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.20%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 13:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -5.34%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.31%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 10:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -5.34%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.31%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 11:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 05:29
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.96%EV -4.73%E -2.45%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -1.34%E -0.363%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.98%EV -3.64%E -0.904%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 13:00
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.68%EV -4.73%E -2.45%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.05%EV -1.88%E -0.510%K -0.700%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.31%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 12:49
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -4.73%E -2.45%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 12:58
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -4.73%E -2.45%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -5.31%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 12:50
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -4.73%E -2.45%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -5.31%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 12:50
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -5.22%E -2.72%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 12:49
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -5.22%E -2.72%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.31%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 05:44
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -5.22%E -2.72%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 12:50
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -5.22%E -2.72%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 12:50
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -5.22%E -2.72%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 12:49
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 10:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 09:50
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.34%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.31%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 05:24
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 05:45
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 12:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 12:50
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 11:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.70%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 12:00
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.70%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:59
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.70%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.70%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 11:59
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.21%E -3.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.34%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 13:00
BetAnything1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.21%E -3.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.34%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 13:00
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.21%E -3.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 12:49
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.21%E -3.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 10:59
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.21%E -3.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 10:59
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 49.76%EV -6.70%E -3.55%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 12:50
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -6.70%E -3.55%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -5.61%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -7.95%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:59
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.55%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 12:50
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.55%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 12:50
PointsBet (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -7.19%E -3.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.19%E -3.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.71%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 12:49
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -7.69%E -4.11%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 12:49
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -8.18%E -4.40%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 12:50
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.01%EV -8.18%E -4.40%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 05:44
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -8.18%E -4.40%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 12:50
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -8.18%E -4.40%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 12:50
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -8.68%E -4.69%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -1.34%E -0.363%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 12:49
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.58%EV -8.81%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.74%EV -8.19%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 05:42
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 12:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 12:50
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.70%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -22.09%E -6.80%K -9.82%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-22 11:00
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 09:40
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -16.01%E -5.08%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 05:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.85%EV -12.13%E -6.81%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 05:44
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.56%EV -13.61%E -7.78%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -13.34%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -12.50%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-22 13:00
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.23%EV -16.08%E -9.46%K -22.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.15%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -18.50%E -5.44%K -7.71%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-22 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-03-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-03-22 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-03-22 13:00
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-03-22 13:00
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-03-22 13:00
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.86%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.43%2.3%2026-03-22 13:00