L’École des cotes

FC Zwolle v Heracles Almelo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 12:30 UTC

Score final : FC Zwolle 1–0 Heracles Almelo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Zwolle (Local)

Prévision 62.51%1.60cote équitable
EV -0.601%
Avantage -0.378%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.26%62.51%62.46%64.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.501.5971.43%67.38%66.67%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Heracles Almelo (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.06%5.86cote équitable
EV +4.10%
Avantage +0.671%
Kelly +0.803%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 6.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.67%17.08%17.11%19.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.495.506.1020.83%18.20%18.18%16.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.42%4.90cote équitable
EV +4.14%
Avantage +0.812%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.02%20.41%20.44%22.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.574.555.1026.67%21.89%21.98%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.02%EV -0.601%E -0.378%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.96%EV -17.06%E -3.51%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV +4.14%E +0.812%K +1.01%G +0.042%3.1%2026-05-03 12:26
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.69%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +4.10%E +0.671%K +0.803%G +0.033%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%EV +2.10%E +0.420%K +0.525%G +0.011%3.1%2026-05-03 12:06
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.11%EV -5.60%E -3.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV +2.39%E +0.398%K +0.478%G +0.011%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76%EV +0.058%E +0.012%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 11:30
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.11%EV -5.60%E -3.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV +2.39%E +0.398%K +0.478%G +0.011%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.76%EV +0.058%E +0.012%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +2.39%E +0.398%K +0.478%G +0.011%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -1.98%E -0.413%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 12:06
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.11%EV -8.10%E -5.51%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -1.02%E -0.176%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -1.98%E -0.413%K -0.522%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:10
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.10%E -5.51%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -1.98%E -0.413%K -0.522%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 12:25
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.88%E -0.326%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.00%E -0.633%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.88%E -0.326%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.00%E -0.633%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 12:24
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 63.98%EV -8.10%E -5.51%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.22%EV -1.02%E -0.176%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -3.00%E -0.633%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 12:05
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 63.98%EV -8.10%E -5.51%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.22%EV -1.02%E -0.176%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -3.00%E -0.633%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 12:06
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 64.30%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -1.02%E -0.176%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.00%E -0.633%K -0.801%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 12:06
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.46%EV -5.60%E -3.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -7.85%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.03%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 12:15
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.32%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.176%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -4.03%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:05
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 64.32%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.176%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -4.03%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:06
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -10.60%E -7.42%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV +0.683%E +0.116%K +0.139%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -4.03%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 12:11
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.92%EV -6.85%E -4.60%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -14.68%E -2.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -4.03%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 12:16
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -10.60%E -7.42%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -1.88%E -0.326%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -4.03%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 12:05
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -10.60%E -7.42%K -24.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -1.88%E -0.326%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -4.03%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 12:05
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.92%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.37%EV +0.342%E +0.058%K +0.070%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.70%EV -5.05%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 12:25
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -6.07%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 12:15
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -6.07%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.07%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 12:06
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.07%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 12:15
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -8.10%E -5.51%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.07%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 12:16
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -11.23%E -7.91%K -26.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -4.44%E -0.792%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -6.07%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -11.23%E -7.91%K -26.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -4.44%E -0.792%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -6.07%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 12:06
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -11.23%E -7.91%K -26.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -4.44%E -0.792%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -6.07%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV -10.41%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.98%EV -7.09%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 12:13
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +2.39%E +0.398%K +0.478%G +0.011%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 12:10
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -4.98%E -3.27%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 12:21
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -4.98%E -3.27%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 12:20
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -5.60%E -3.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.44%E -0.792%K -0.964%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 12:21
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -5.60%E -3.71%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 12:10
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.48%E -5.05%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -1.88%E -0.326%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 12:10
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -7.00%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 12:25
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.10%E -5.51%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -1.88%E -0.326%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 12:10
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.68%E -2.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:25
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.68%E -2.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:26
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.68%E -2.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:26
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.68%E -2.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:26
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.40%EV -8.73%E -5.98%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -18.09%E -3.77%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -8.11%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:15
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -3.10%E -2.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -7.85%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -9.13%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 12:25
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -3.10%E -2.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -7.85%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -9.13%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 12:26
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -4.98%E -3.27%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.11%EV -9.13%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 12:26
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.11%EV -9.35%E -6.45%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.66%EV -12.97%E -2.54%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.24%EV -9.13%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 12:15
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 61.06%EV -3.73%E -2.42%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -8.70%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -10.15%E -2.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 12:25
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -8.10%E -5.51%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.15%E -2.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.15%E -2.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 12:10
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.23%E -4.15%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -6.14%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.58%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 12:09
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -4.35%E -2.84%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -14.68%E -2.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -11.58%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 12:25
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -14.68%E -2.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.58%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 12:04
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -11.85%E -8.41%K -28.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -12.97%E -2.54%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -12.19%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 12:24
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -4.98%E -3.27%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.41%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -13.21%E -3.11%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 12:25
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.98%E -6.93%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -10.41%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.24%E -3.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -12.48%E -8.91%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -14.68%E -2.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -23.42%E -6.25%K -8.52%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-02 19:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.95%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95%0.2%2026-05-03 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.95%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95%0.2%2026-05-03 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.95%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95%0.2%2026-05-03 12:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.40%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-05-03 12:25
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%1.2%2026-05-03 12:25
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%2.0%2026-05-03 12:25