The School of Odds
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FC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 11:15 UTC

Final: FC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Zwolle (Local)

Prediction 40.42%2.47fair odd
EV -0.964%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -0.665%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.15%40.43%40.36%42.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.302.302.4548.78%43.41%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

ADO Den Haag (Visit)

Prediction 33.85%2.95fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.80%33.92%33.82%35.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.752.8840.00%36.56%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.73%3.89fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.589%
Kelly -0.800%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.38%25.65%25.82%26.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.603.8030.30%27.93%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Zwolle (Local): 40.42%; ADO Den Haag (Visit): 33.85%; Draw: 25.73%. For FC Zwolle (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.964%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.94%EV -0.964%E -0.394%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.97%EV -2.51%E -0.871%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.09%EV -3.53%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-11-01 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.94%EV -0.964%E -0.394%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.97%EV -2.51%E -0.871%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.09%EV -3.53%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-11-01 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.94%EV -0.964%E -0.394%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.97%EV -2.51%E -0.871%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.09%EV -3.53%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-11-01 11:00
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.35%EV -1.37%E -0.561%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV -5.56%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.23%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 11:10
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.18%E -0.900%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.17%EV -3.86%E -1.36%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.74%EV -3.01%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 11:10
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -2.99%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.86%EV -3.79%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 11:10
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 10:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.82%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -3.53%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 11:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -3.53%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 11:10
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -3.53%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 11:10
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.43%EV -3.53%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 11:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 10:56
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 11:10
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 10:56
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 11:00
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 11:00
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 11:00
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.01%E -2.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.96%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 10:55
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -5.41%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.06%EV -6.57%E -2.38%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 11:08
Betsson🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -5.41%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -6.23%E -2.25%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.22%EV -8.16%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 10:56
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -5.81%E -2.50%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.96%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 11:00
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -6.22%E -2.68%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.60%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 11:00
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -2.24%E -0.589%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 11:08
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -2.24%E -0.589%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 11:09
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.53%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 10:55
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -3.53%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 10:55
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 10:56
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -11.31%E -4.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -2.24%E -0.589%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 11:10
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 10:56
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.60%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-01 11:11
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -7.03%E -3.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.31%E -4.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.07%EV -7.59%E -2.78%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 10:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.51%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -10.30%E -3.89%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.51%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -10.30%E -3.89%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 11:00
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.51%EV -7.84%E -3.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -10.30%E -3.89%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.91%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 10:55
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.60%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 10:55
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.60%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.96%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 10:55
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.60%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.96%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.60%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.96%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.60%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.96%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -11.99%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 11:10
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -11.31%E -4.32%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -10.30%E -3.89%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -13.82%E -4.12%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -13.82%E -4.12%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 11:00
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -9.05%E -4.02%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.97%E -4.17%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -15.10%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-01 11:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -11.07%E -5.03%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.07%EV -11.99%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 11:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.98%EV -11.88%E -5.45%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.71%EV -10.30%E -3.89%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -9.19%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 11:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -13.09%E -6.09%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.22%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -3.53%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 10:55
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -13.09%E -6.09%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.99%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-01 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%EV -13.09%E -6.09%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -15.37%E -6.15%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.10%EV -11.24%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.5%2026-11-01 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.82%EV -17.13%E -8.36%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -11.99%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-01 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 41.00%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%-0.0%2026-11-01 10:50
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.68%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.01%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%0.0%2026-11-01 11:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.96%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%0.1%2026-11-01 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.96%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%0.1%2026-11-01 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.96%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%0.1%2026-11-01 11:11
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-11-01 11:10

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