La escuela de los momios

FC Volendam v Fortuna Sittard

Inicio: 2026-03-14 15:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Volendam (Local)

Predicción 39.60%2.52momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.881%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.27%39.70%39.63%40.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.352.382.4746.51%42.60%42.02%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fortuna Sittard (Visitante)

Predicción 34.00%2.94momio equitativo
EV +0.286%
Ventaja +0.097%
Kelly +0.147%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.64%33.94%33.99%35.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.742.752.9540.82%36.52%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.40%3.79momio equitativo
EV +0.321%
Ventaja +0.084%
Kelly +0.115%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.38%26.36%26.38%28.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.503.553.8033.33%28.58%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 40.12%EV -4.16%E -1.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.91%EV +0.286%E +0.097%K +0.147%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 15:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.85%EV -2.09%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.859%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.22%EV -2.18%E -0.881%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -2.77%E -0.970%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.91%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 15:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -3.64%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -3.64%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 14:35
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.18%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV +0.321%E +0.084%K +0.115%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.18%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV +0.321%E +0.084%K +0.115%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 15:05
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 15:23
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -6.93%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -0.999%E -0.266%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 15:15
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.28%EV -4.16%E -1.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:04
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.28%EV -4.16%E -1.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 04:05
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.68%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 04:05
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.68%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 14:35
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.68%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 14:35
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.68%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 14:35
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 15:10
Bovada2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.05%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 15:25
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.05%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 15:25
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.05%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 15:25
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 12:44
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 15:24
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 12:45
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.93%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 15:15
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.93%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.93%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 15:15
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.93%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.93%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.93%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 15:15
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 15:15
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.93%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 15:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 15:20
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.08%EV -6.85%E -2.50%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 15:25
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:49
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:50
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -5.74%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 15:24
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -4.95%E -2.06%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -8.12%E -3.50%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.07%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:35
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:35
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.90%EV -13.66%E -6.27%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.07%EV -9.71%E -2.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 15:09
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.54%EV -14.85%E -6.91%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.64%EV -9.23%E -3.46%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 15:25
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.89%E -4.84%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 04:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -14.85%E -6.91%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -11.56%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 15:15
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 15:25
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.61%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 12:54
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -11.61%E -4.47%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 15:25
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 04:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -15.01%E -6.00%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -20.80%E -6.93%K -10.40%G +0.000%18.8%2026-03-14 15:24
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 38.89%EV -14.85%E -6.91%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.13%EV -16.71%E -6.82%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.97%EV -18.16%E -5.86%K -8.65%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-14 15:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-03-14 15:25
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.83%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.34%1.2%2026-03-14 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-03-14 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-03-14 15:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-14 15:20
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.74%2.4%2026-03-14 15:25