A Escola das Odds

FC Utrecht v NAC Breda

Início: 2026-05-02 14:30 UTC

Final: FC Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Utrecht (Local)

Previsão 55.29%1.81odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -1.86%
Kelly -4.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.29%55.32%55.30%56.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.581.681.681.7563.29%59.46%59.52%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

NAC Breda (Visitante)

Previsão 20.99%4.76odd justa
EV +1.58%
Vantagem +0.327%
Kelly +0.413%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.91%20.94%21.02%22.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.494.504.8425.00%22.27%22.22%20.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.72%4.22odd justa
EV -0.596%
Vantagem -0.142%
Kelly -0.187%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.95%23.74%23.68%26.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.903.904.1930.30%25.66%25.64%23.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 20.06%EV +1.58%E +0.327%K +0.413%G +0.007%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.17%EV -0.596%E -0.142%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV +0.745%E +0.155%K +0.196%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 14:25
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.80%E -2.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.46%EV -0.304%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.70%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.80%E -2.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.46%EV -0.304%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.70%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.73%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -0.514%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.93%EV -4.39%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 14:15
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.82%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -1.35%E -0.288%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 14:25
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -1.35%E -0.288%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 14:10
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -1.35%E -0.288%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -1.35%E -0.288%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:24
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:21
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:25
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:21
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -7.12%E -4.24%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:25
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -7.12%E -4.24%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:25
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.90%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.81%EV -7.00%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:20
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 14:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -8.22%E -4.95%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:20
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -8.22%E -4.95%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 14:15
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:10
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 12:20
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.91%E -2.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 12:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 12:25
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -4.91%E -2.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 14:25
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:10
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:40
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:46
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:25
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -9.88%E -6.06%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 14:10
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -9.88%E -6.06%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -9.88%E -6.06%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 14:10
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -6.60%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 14:06
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -6.60%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 14:06
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 12:20
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -4.91%E -2.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 12:50
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -4.91%E -2.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 12:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 14:20
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.23%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 14:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 12:15
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -9.33%E -5.69%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -9.75%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.43%EV -7.95%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 14:14
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -9.88%E -6.06%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -10.80%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 14:05
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:14
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-02 14:20
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.46%EV -12.65%E -8.00%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -21.71%E -6.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.12%E -4.24%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.95%E -3.40%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -9.33%E -5.69%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -16.05%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 12:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 14:05
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 14:15
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.73%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-02 14:25
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.05%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-05-02 14:15