L’École des cotes

FC Utrecht v NAC Breda

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:30 UTC

Score final : FC Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Utrecht (Local)

Prévision 55.29%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -4.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.29%55.32%55.30%56.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.681.681.7563.29%59.46%59.52%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

NAC Breda (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.99%4.76cote équitable
EV +1.58%
Avantage +0.327%
Kelly +0.413%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.91%20.94%21.02%22.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.494.504.8425.00%22.27%22.22%20.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.72%4.22cote équitable
EV -0.596%
Avantage -0.142%
Kelly -0.187%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.95%23.74%23.68%26.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.903.904.1930.30%25.66%25.64%23.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 20.06%EV +1.58%E +0.327%K +0.413%G +0.007%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.17%EV -0.596%E -0.142%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV +0.745%E +0.155%K +0.196%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 14:25
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.80%E -2.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.46%EV -0.304%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.70%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.80%E -2.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.46%EV -0.304%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.70%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.73%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.34%EV -0.514%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.93%EV -4.39%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 14:15
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.82%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -1.35%E -0.288%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 14:25
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -1.35%E -0.288%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 14:10
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -1.35%E -0.288%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -1.35%E -0.288%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -2.73%E -0.666%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 14:24
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:21
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:25
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:21
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -7.12%E -4.24%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:25
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -7.12%E -4.24%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 14:25
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.90%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.81%EV -7.00%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:20
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 14:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -8.22%E -4.95%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 14:20
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -8.22%E -4.95%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 14:15
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.45%E -0.751%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:10
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 12:20
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.91%E -2.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 12:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 12:25
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -4.91%E -2.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 14:25
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 14:10
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:40
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:46
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:25
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -9.88%E -6.06%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 14:10
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -9.88%E -6.06%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -9.88%E -6.06%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 14:10
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -6.60%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 14:06
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -6.60%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 14:06
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 12:20
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -4.91%E -2.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 12:50
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -4.91%E -2.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 12:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:25
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 14:20
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.23%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 14:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 12:15
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -9.33%E -5.69%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -9.75%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.43%EV -7.95%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 14:14
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -9.88%E -6.06%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -10.80%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 14:05
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:14
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-02 14:20
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.46%EV -12.65%E -8.00%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.86%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -21.71%E -6.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.12%E -4.24%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -13.95%E -3.40%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -9.33%E -5.69%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -16.05%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 12:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 14:05
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 14:15
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.73%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-02 14:25
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.05%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-05-02 14:15