Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.13
assuming max odds 3.45
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Utrecht (Local): 45.31%; Go Ahead Eagles (Visit): 29.35%; Draw: 25.33%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.42%EV -4.84%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26%EV +1.27%E +0.367%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%EV -2.47%E -0.640%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.43%EV -6.20%E -3.00%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.202%E -0.059%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -3.73%E -0.982%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.43%EV -6.20%E -3.00%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.202%E -0.059%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -3.73%E -0.982%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.08%EV -6.65%E -3.23%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -0.202%E -0.059%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.08%EV -6.65%E -3.23%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -0.202%E -0.059%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 00:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.08%EV -6.65%E -3.23%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -0.202%E -0.059%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 00:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.08%EV -6.65%E -3.23%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -0.202%E -0.059%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -1.67%E -0.498%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.04%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.81%EV -2.26%E -0.678%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.14%EV -7.03%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.50%EV -5.29%E -2.53%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.73%EV -2.84%E -0.859%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.77%EV -6.52%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 09:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 06:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 06:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.37%EV -6.20%E -3.00%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 09:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -8.47%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -8.47%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -8.47%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.47%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -6.20%E -3.00%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 23:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +1.33%E +0.334%K +0.445%G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -4.84%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -1.20%E -0.307%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.58%EV -3.93%E -1.86%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 09:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.58%EV -3.93%E -1.86%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -1.20%E -0.307%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.87%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.87%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.87%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.87%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 00:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -4.84%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 01:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.20%E -0.307%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.19%EV -8.01%E -3.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -1.20%E -0.307%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -10.73%E -5.45%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 03:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -10.73%E -5.45%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -11.18%E -5.71%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 03:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -11.18%E -5.71%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -11.64%E -5.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.53%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -8.42%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -3.73%E -0.982%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 23:13 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.53%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -8.42%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -3.73%E -0.982%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 23:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.73%E -0.982%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 10:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.84%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -5.75%E -2.76%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.73%E -0.982%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -10.28%E -5.19%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.11%EV -12.54%E -6.50%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -9.37%E -4.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 00:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.97%EV -9.83%E -4.94%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 07:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.64%E -5.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.79%EV -10.28%E -5.19%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -11.64%E -5.97%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -14.88%E -5.13%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-04 00:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.99% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |