La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
FC Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Utrecht (Local)
Predicción 41.90%2.39momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.834%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.97%41.93%41.91%43.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.232.3450.00%45.12%44.84%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AZ Alkmaar (Visitante)
Predicción 30.04%3.33momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.539%
Kelly -0.777%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.08%30.06%29.96%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.823.103.103.2735.46%32.25%32.26%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.514%
Kelly -0.720%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.65%28.01%28.12%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.323.323.5034.48%30.12%30.12%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.49%EV -1.95%E -0.834%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.96%EV -2.66%E -0.823%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.49%EV -1.95%E -0.834%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.96%EV -2.66%E -0.823%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.79%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.79%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.37%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.94%EV -3.21%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.37%EV -4.17%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.30%EV -4.05%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.62%EV -1.76%E -0.539%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.30%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%EV -3.87%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.56%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.30%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%EV -3.87%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.56%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.30%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%EV -3.87%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.56%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -6.27%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 14:58 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.87%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -8.37%E -2.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.48%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Bovada | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 15:37 |
| BetUS | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.13%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.70%EV -7.40%E -3.35%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.24%EV -7.40%E -3.35%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.87%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.87%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 15:13 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -9.07%E -4.18%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.37%E -2.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 14:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.47%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.88%EV -15.28%E -5.42%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.65%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-01 14:58 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -14.10%E -6.88%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.37%E -2.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -14.10%E -6.88%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.37%E -2.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -14.10%E -6.88%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -14.38%E -5.05%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-01 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.82%EV -16.20%E -8.10%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.34%EV -14.38%E -5.05%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.84%EV -18.63%E -6.43%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43% | 1.9% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |