Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede v Feyenoord

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prediction 46.00%2.17fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.97%46.06%46.07%47.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.022.022.1055.56%49.62%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Feyenoord (Visit)

Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV -0.958%
Edge -0.282%
Kelly -0.399%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.49%29.08%29.10%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.213.253.4034.48%31.11%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.87%4.02fair odd
EV -0.285%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.095%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.73%24.86%24.83%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.723.754.0130.30%26.88%26.67%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 46.00%; Feyenoord (Visit): 29.13%; Draw: 24.87%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.01, with an expected value of -0.285%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 12:39
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 12:29
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 12:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -3.39%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 12:29
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.52%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -2.12%E -0.632%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.68%EV -2.52%E -0.644%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 13:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.27%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -2.41%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 13:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.27%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -2.41%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 13:19
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.51%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 13:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.39%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -2.41%E -0.721%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -4.26%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 13:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.63%EV -4.77%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 13:09
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.14%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.64%EV -1.25%E -0.369%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.22%EV -0.285%E -0.071%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.62%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.49%EV -5.62%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.533%E -0.133%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 13:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.62%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.49%EV -5.62%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.533%E -0.133%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 13:19
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 13:09
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 13:19
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 13:19
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 13:04
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 13:04
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 13:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 13:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 13:04
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -6.15%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -6.15%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 13:19
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 13:19
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 13:19
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 13:19
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.29%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 13:18
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.77%EV -7.53%E -3.75%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:18
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.77%EV -7.53%E -3.75%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:19
BetAnything🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.77%EV -7.53%E -3.75%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:19
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -0.958%E -0.282%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:08
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -6.00%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 13:19
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 13:04
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 13:19
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 13:19
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 13:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:09
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:09
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:19
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -9.37%E -4.76%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.31%EV -9.83%E -5.02%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.31%EV -9.83%E -5.02%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -0.958%E -0.282%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 13:19
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.97%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 13:04
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.45%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-01 13:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.29%EV -10.75%E -5.54%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -15.52%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 13:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.35%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.14%EV -10.57%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 13:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.39%EV -11.67%E -6.08%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -11.15%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.40%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 13:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.33%EV -11.67%E -6.08%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.81%EV -14.94%E -5.12%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -12.97%E -3.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-01 13:18
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -12.13%E -6.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 13:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.61%EV -17.19%E -9.55%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -17.94%E -5.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-01 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-01 13:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-01 13:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-01 13:09
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-03-01 13:19
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-03-01 13:19