Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede v FC Utrecht

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 18:00 UTC

Final: FC Twente Enschede 1–2 FC Utrecht

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prediction 69.93%1.43fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -7.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.00%69.96%69.89%71.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.331.331.3980.00%75.42%75.19%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Utrecht (Visit)

Prediction 12.50%8.00fair odd
EV +6.21%
Edge +0.731%
Kelly +0.828%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.19%12.49%12.56%13.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.477.508.5015.38%13.38%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.57%5.69fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.179%
Kelly +0.217%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.40%17.55%17.54%18.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.265.255.7520.83%18.99%19.05%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 69.93%; FC Utrecht (Visit): 12.50%; Draw: 17.57%. For FC Utrecht (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.00. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +6.21%E +0.731%K +0.828%G +0.051%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.36%E -0.612%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:04
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +6.21%E +0.731%K +0.828%G +0.051%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.36%E -0.612%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 16:03
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.13%EV -8.39%E -6.40%K -27.05%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV +3.09%E +0.374%K +0.426%G +0.013%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -6.88%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.10%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.036%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +1.03%E +0.179%K +0.217%G +0.002%3.4%2026-10-18 17:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.10%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.036%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV +1.03%E +0.179%K +0.217%G +0.002%3.4%2026-10-18 17:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.25%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.02%EV -0.036%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.73%EV +1.03%E +0.179%K +0.217%G +0.002%4.0%2026-10-18 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -0.036%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.36%E -0.612%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 14:09
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -0.036%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -6.88%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 17:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -0.036%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -6.88%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 17:29
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -0.036%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -6.88%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.036%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 14:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -0.036%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV +0.151%E +0.026%K +0.032%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.42%EV -9.78%E -7.59%K -33.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.036%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -5.12%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.99%EV -1.29%E -0.163%K -0.186%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.87%EV -6.88%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 17:35
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.86%EV -6.29%E -4.69%K -18.49%G +0.000%7.71I 12.97%NM 12.14%EV -3.66%E -0.475%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -8.63%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -6.29%E -4.69%K -18.49%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -5.03%E -0.662%K -0.763%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -5.12%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -5.66%E -0.750%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -5.12%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 09:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -5.66%E -0.750%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -5.12%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 09:24
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -5.66%E -0.750%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -5.12%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 09:19
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.58%EV -5.66%E -0.750%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -5.12%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 09:24
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.32%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.57%EV -5.66%E -0.750%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.11%EV -2.48%E -0.448%K -0.546%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 17:39
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -6.29%E -4.69%K -18.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -3.36%E -0.612%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.36%E -0.612%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 17:15
picklebet_au🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.36%E -0.612%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 17:09
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 17:49
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -8.63%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 17:30
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -8.63%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 17:29
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -7.69%E -5.82%K -24.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -10.39%E -2.04%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 17:29
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -8.39%E -6.40%K -27.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 14:09
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.58%E -10.07%K -50.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-18 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.58%E -10.07%K -50.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -6.28%E -0.838%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-18 17:54
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.88%EV -4.19%E -3.06%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.90%EV -7.28%E -0.982%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.22%EV -2.31%E -0.415%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.56%EV -7.53%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -6.88%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 14:10
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.13%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.41%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 12:34
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.60%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -9.41%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 17:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.55%EV -10.48%E -8.19%K -37.44%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.28%EV -9.41%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -13.91%E -2.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-18 17:50
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.99%EV -2.79%E -2.01%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.32%EV -10.03%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.69%EV -4.77%E -0.880%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-18 17:54
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.15%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -12.53%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -5.12%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.53%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 05:35
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.89%E -3.60%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.53%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -7.76%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 12:34
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.59%E -4.14%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -12.53%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 17:49
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.53%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.53%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.53%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.78%E -7.59%K -33.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -12.53%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.78%E -7.59%K -33.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -12.53%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -10.48%E -8.19%K -37.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -12.53%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -10.39%E -2.04%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 17:33
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -12.53%E -1.79%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.66%E -3.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -8.39%E -6.40%K -27.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -15.66%E -2.32%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -5.12%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.36%EV -12.58%E -10.07%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 12.94%EV -16.28%E -2.43%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.69%EV -13.91%E -2.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-18 17:34
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -6.99%E -5.25%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -18.78%E -2.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.15%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 14:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.97%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -18.78%E -2.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.24%EV -8.63%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 17:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.00%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%0.6%2026-10-18 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.46%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%0.7%2026-10-18 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.36%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09%0.9%2026-10-18 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.36%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09%0.9%2026-10-18 17:55
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.38%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.94%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.68%1.6%2026-10-18 17:55
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-10-18 15:35