默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 14:30 UTC

最终结果: Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Excelsior (主队)

预测 43.23%2.31公平赔率
EV -1.43%
优势 -0.628%
Kelly -1.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.28

博彩公司预测分布
41.89%43.33%43.24%45.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.162.172.2848.78%46.27%46.19%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sparta Rotterdam (客队)

预测 31.17%3.21公平赔率
EV -0.260%
优势 -0.081%
Kelly -0.118%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.19%31.09%31.18%32.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.993.003.2035.71%33.42%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.60%3.91公平赔率
EV -0.932%
优势 -0.241%
Kelly -0.325%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.87

博彩公司预测分布
24.74%25.59%25.58%26.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.623.603.8730.30%27.63%27.78%25.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Excelsior (主队):43.23%;Sparta Rotterdam (客队):31.17%;平局:25.60%。 对于“Sparta Rotterdam (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.21。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.20,期望值为-0.260%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -1.43%E -0.628%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -3.38%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV -2.72%E -0.717%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.78%EV -2.73%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.67%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.78%EV -2.73%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.67%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.63%EV -3.59%E -1.61%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.68%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48%EV -4.02%E -1.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -1.82%E -0.577%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.88%EV -4.52%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48%EV -4.02%E -1.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -1.82%E -0.577%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.88%EV -4.52%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 13:35
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.48%EV -4.02%E -1.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -1.82%E -0.577%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.88%EV -4.52%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 13:35
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -4.02%E -1.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 14:25
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -4.02%E -1.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 14:25
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.38%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 08:10
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.38%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 08:10
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.38%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.80%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:10
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:25
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:25
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:25
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 14:25
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 14:25
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 14:25
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 14:25
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -5.32%E -2.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.68%EV -1.51%E -0.477%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.05%EV -0.932%E -0.241%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.21%EV -5.32%E -2.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.45%EV -0.883%E -0.278%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.35%EV -2.21%E -0.579%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 14:15
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -5.75%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 14:25
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.38%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.44%E -0.375%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 14:19
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.35%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.56%EV -2.75%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.72%E -0.717%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 14:20
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.35%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.56%EV -2.75%E -0.882%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.72%E -0.717%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 14:23
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.72%E -0.717%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.38%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 14:14
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -3.38%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 08:10
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -11.68%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:05
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.50%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 14:23
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.56%EV -7.48%E -3.50%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -7.43%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -4.77%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:04
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -7.48%E -3.50%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -7.48%E -3.50%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.59%EV -7.92%E -3.72%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 14:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.40%EV -8.35%E -3.94%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -11.17%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -11.68%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.40%EV -8.35%E -3.94%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -11.17%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -11.68%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.40%EV -8.35%E -3.94%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -11.17%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -11.68%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 14:20
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.17%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.96%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.21%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.96%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.38%EV -10.51%E -5.08%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.96%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -0.260%E -0.081%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -12.73%E -4.55%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.30%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.55%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 14:10
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.37%E -5.55%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -15.52%E -4.70%K -6.75%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-29 14:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 44.05%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00%0.0%2026-08-29 14:05
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-29 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-08-29 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-08-29 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-08-29 14:25
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-08-29 14:25