The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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AZ Alkmaar v FC Twente Enschede

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 19:00 UTC

Final: AZ Alkmaar 0–2 FC Twente Enschede

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AZ Alkmaar (Local)

Prediction 40.82%2.45fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.845%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.47%40.76%40.88%42.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.282.302.4048.78%43.90%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Twente Enschede (Visit)

Prediction 34.14%2.93fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.584%
Kelly +0.879%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.21%34.22%34.12%36.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.742.9840.00%36.74%36.50%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.04%3.99fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.374%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.47%25.02%25.00%26.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.703.703.9529.41%27.05%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar (Local): 40.82%; FC Twente Enschede (Visit): 34.14%; Draw: 25.04%. For FC Twente Enschede (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.85%EV -8.56%E -3.82%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.21%EV +1.74%E +0.584%K +0.879%G +0.015%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -3.61%E -0.937%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.58%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.69%EV -0.992%E -0.342%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73%EV -1.10%E -0.279%K -0.374%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-25 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.35%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.74%EV -1.67%E -0.581%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -2.35%E -0.604%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-25 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.35%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.74%EV -1.67%E -0.581%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -2.35%E -0.604%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-25 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.83%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -2.02%E -0.702%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 18:55
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.07%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -2.35%E -0.604%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 18:45
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.07%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -2.35%E -0.604%K -0.812%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 18:49
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 18:08
LowVig.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.52%E -2.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -2.35%E -0.604%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 18:03
BetOnline.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.52%E -2.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -2.35%E -0.604%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 18:03
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.52%E -2.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -2.35%E -0.604%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 18:03
BetAnything🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.52%E -2.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -2.35%E -0.604%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 18:03
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 18:03
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.41%E -1.57%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.87%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -5.09%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 18:03
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.59%EV -5.70%E -2.47%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.73%EV -5.09%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.15%EV -7.74%E -3.43%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.58%EV -5.43%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.86%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 18:03
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 18:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 18:03
Codere (IT)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.64%EV -4.88%E -2.10%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 18:03
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 18:03
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 18:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 18:03
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 18:03
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 18:35
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.93%E -3.04%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 18:35
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -6.11%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 18:25
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.80%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.14%EV -6.45%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.06%EV -10.12%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 18:03
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 18:55
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 18:03
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 18:16
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 18:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 18:16
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 18:16
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.04%EV -8.97%E -4.02%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 18:25
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.89%EV -8.97%E -4.02%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.87%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.19%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.19%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 18:35
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.19%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -7.82%E -2.90%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.81%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -3.61%E -0.937%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -2.35%E -0.604%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.04%EV -11.01%E -5.05%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -11.12%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.60%EV -12.23%E -5.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -9.53%E -3.60%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.64%EV -9.11%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.03%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.24%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-25 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.01%EV -11.82%E -5.47%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -10.21%E -3.88%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-25 18:25
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.93%EV -16.31%E -7.96%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.59%EV -10.55%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-25 18:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -11.23%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.86%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.19%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -11.23%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 18:03
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.23%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 18:32
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.74%EV -11.42%E -5.26%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.00%EV -11.23%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-25 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -16.31%E -7.96%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -11.23%E -4.32%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-25 18:35
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -12.94%E -5.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.56%EV -10.19%E -4.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -12.94%E -5.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 18:03
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -14.65%E -5.86%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.18%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.60%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.4%2026-10-25 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-10-25 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-10-25 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-10-25 18:55
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.05%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.26%1.5%2026-10-25 18:55
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-10-25 18:03