Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
Toluca v Atlético San Luis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toluca (Local)
Prediction 72.75%1.37fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -7.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.26%72.79%72.57%74.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3481.97%78.61%78.74%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético San Luis (Visit)
Prediction 11.06%9.04fair odd
EV +9.13%
Edge +0.925%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 9.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.77%10.99%11.09%12.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.378.259.8714.29%11.95%12.12%10.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.19%6.18fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.191%
Kelly +0.228%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.68%16.22%16.33%17.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.565.506.2520.41%17.99%18.18%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toluca (Local): 72.75%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 11.06%; Draw: 16.19%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.04. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.77%EV -6.15%E -4.77%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 9.87I 10.13%NM 9.77%EV +9.13%E +0.925%K +1.03%G +0.094% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.46%EV +1.03%E +0.166%K +0.197%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.74%EV -6.15%E -4.77%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +8.36%E +0.853%K +0.950%G +0.079% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +1.20%E +0.191%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.74%EV -6.15%E -4.77%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +8.36%E +0.853%K +0.950%G +0.079% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +1.20%E +0.191%K +0.228%G +0.003% | 3.7% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.96%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.10%EV +5.26%E +0.552%K +0.617%G +0.032% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 15.94%EV -2.37%E -0.392%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.06%E -7.25%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +5.04%E +0.530%K +0.593%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -2.85%E -0.475%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 00:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.06%E -7.25%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +5.04%E +0.530%K +0.593%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -2.85%E -0.475%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 00:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.72%EV -8.33%E -6.61%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 9.99%EV +2.83%E +0.304%K +0.341%G +0.010% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -7.71%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.72%EV -8.33%E -6.61%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 9.99%EV +2.83%E +0.304%K +0.341%G +0.010% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -7.71%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.51%EV -3.24%E -2.44%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV -0.490%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.77%EV -6.90%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.51%EV -3.24%E -2.44%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV -0.490%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.77%EV -6.90%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.15%E -4.77%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -0.490%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.85%E -0.475%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.06%E -7.25%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -0.490%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -2.85%E -0.475%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-18 00:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.06%E -7.25%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -0.490%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -2.85%E -0.475%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.06%E -7.25%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -0.490%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.95%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.24%EV -6.15%E -4.77%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.62%EV -1.60%E -0.179%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.15%EV -5.28%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.95%EV -2.51%E -1.87%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.08%EV -3.81%E -0.438%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.97%EV -8.03%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.15%E -4.77%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -6.02%E -0.708%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.90%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -9.06%E -7.25%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -6.02%E -0.708%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -2.85%E -0.475%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -9.79%E -7.89%K -40.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -6.02%E -0.708%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -2.85%E -0.475%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.61%EV -11.24%E -9.22%K -51.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -6.02%E -0.708%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.68%EV +0.386%E +0.062%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.24%E -9.22%K -51.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -6.02%E -0.708%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -10.95%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.24%E -9.22%K -51.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -6.02%E -0.708%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -10.95%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.24%E -9.22%K -51.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -6.02%E -0.708%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -10.95%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -3.24%E -2.44%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.37%EV -7.68%E -0.919%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -10.95%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 21:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.12%EV -4.69%E -3.58%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.45%EV -8.78%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -6.90%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -6.88%E -5.37%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.36%EV -10.44%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.95%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.15%E -4.77%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.90%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -14.19%E -2.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -14.19%E -2.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -14.19%E -2.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -14.19%E -2.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -14.19%E -2.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -14.19%E -2.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -14.19%E -2.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.48%EV -7.60%E -5.99%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -6.90%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.06%E -7.25%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.04%E -3.81%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-18 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.06%E -7.25%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.04%E -3.81%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-18 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.06%E -7.25%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.04%E -3.81%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-18 00:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.06%E -7.25%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.55%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -19.04%E -3.81%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-18 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -11.24%E -9.22%K -51.10%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.34%EV -14.31%E -1.85%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.59%EV -14.19%E -2.68%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -6.15%E -4.77%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -15.00%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.50%EV -7.60%E -5.99%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -17.42%E -3.42%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.50%EV -7.60%E -5.99%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -17.42%E -3.42%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.50%EV -7.60%E -5.99%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.94%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -17.42%E -3.42%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.67%EV -8.33%E -6.61%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -17.42%E -3.42%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.52%EV -10.52%E -8.55%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.73%EV -17.07%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.76%EV -15.00%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-18 00:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -6.15%E -4.77%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -22.60%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -10.95%E -1.99%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -9.06%E -7.25%K -36.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -22.60%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -15.00%E -2.86%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-17 22:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.26%EV -11.24%E -9.22%K -51.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.25%EV -22.60%E -3.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.49%EV -20.66%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-10-18 00:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.43% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 0.4% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.43% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 0.4% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.87% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32% | 2.0% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55% | 2.9% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |