Language:English
Tijuana v Atlas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tijuana (Local)
Prediction 43.29%2.31fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%43.40%43.31%46.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.092.102.2554.64%47.96%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlas (Visit)
Prediction 28.61%3.50fair odd
EV +4.43%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.074%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.65%28.44%28.48%29.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.983.303.303.6533.56%30.35%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.10%3.56fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.887%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%28.16%28.21%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.303.4533.33%30.59%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tijuana (Local): 43.29%; Atlas (Visit): 28.61%; Draw: 28.10%. For Atlas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -13.42%E -6.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV +4.43%E +1.21%K +1.67%G +0.074% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -13.42%E -6.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV +4.43%E +1.21%K +1.67%G +0.074% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV +1.57%E +0.442%K +0.616%G +0.010% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 02:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -14.72%E -7.47%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV +1.57%E +0.442%K +0.616%G +0.010% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -15.15%E -7.73%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV +1.57%E +0.442%K +0.616%G +0.010% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -15.15%E -7.73%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV +1.57%E +0.442%K +0.616%G +0.010% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -15.15%E -7.73%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV +1.57%E +0.442%K +0.616%G +0.010% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -15.15%E -7.73%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV +1.57%E +0.442%K +0.616%G +0.010% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -15.15%E -7.73%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV +1.57%E +0.442%K +0.616%G +0.010% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -15.15%E -7.73%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV +1.57%E +0.442%K +0.616%G +0.010% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -16.45%E -8.52%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -1.29%E -0.374%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -16.45%E -8.52%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -1.29%E -0.374%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -16.45%E -8.52%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -1.29%E -0.374%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.50%EV -17.32%E -9.07%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -1.29%E -0.374%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.00%EV -2.60%E -1.15%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.54%EV -3.01%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-26 02:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.11%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.49%EV -3.01%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 02:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.11%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.49%EV -3.01%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 02:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.73%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.01%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.26%EV -7.84%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 02:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 02:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 02:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 02:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 02:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 02:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.26%E -5.49%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 02:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -20.78%E -11.35%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-09-26 02:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.81%EV -6.49%E -3.01%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.76%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -3.06%E -0.887%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 02:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.07%EV -6.15%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.07%EV -7.84%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 02:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.96%EV -5.03%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 02:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -11.26%E -5.49%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 02:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 02:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 02:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -3.90%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 02:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -3.90%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 02:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 02:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-26 02:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.63%E -2.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 02:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.26%E -5.49%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-26 02:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.26%E -5.49%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-26 02:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.26%E -5.49%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-26 02:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.26%E -5.49%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.17%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.70%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.17%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.70%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.17%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.70%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.17%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.70%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.17%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.89%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-26 02:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.76%EV -11.26%E -5.49%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.41%EV -14.74%E -4.95%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -11.49%E -3.65%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-26 02:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 02:45 |