The School of Odds

Tigres v Atlético San Luis

2026-07-25 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tigres (Local)

Prediction 68.32%1.46fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -5.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.55%68.12%68.49%70.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.341.4377%74%75%70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlético San Luis (Visit)

Prediction 11.87%8.42fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -0.715%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.59%11.93%11.83%14.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.257.487.638.0016%13%13%13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 19.81%5.05fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.198%
Kelly +0.246%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.18%19.95%19.67%22.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.154.544.505.1024%22%22%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -9.82%E -7.44%K -30.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -5.00%E -0.626%K -0.715%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV +1.01%E +0.198%K +0.246%G +0.002%7.9%2026-07-12 20:13
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.00%E -0.626%K -0.715%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -0.972%E -0.194%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 20:14
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -5.00%E -0.626%K -0.715%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -0.972%E -0.194%K -0.243%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 20:30
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -7.97%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.972%E -0.194%K -0.243%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 20:14
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -10.94%E -1.46%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -5.92%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 20:48
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.00%E -0.626%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -6.91%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 21:59
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -5.00%E -0.626%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -6.91%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 00:49
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 67.99%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.56%EV -14.50%E -2.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.45%EV -7.90%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-13 00:49
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.65%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.13%EV -13.91%E -1.92%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -13.85%E -3.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-12 20:19
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 65.79%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.00%EV -25.78%E -4.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -14.24%E -3.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-12 20:12
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 66.04%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -16.88%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -16.82%E -4.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-12 22:04
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -16.88%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -16.82%E -4.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 21:59
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -16.88%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -16.82%E -4.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -16.88%E -2.41%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -16.82%E -4.00%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 21:59
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.55%EV -2.30%E -1.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.87%EV -6.19%E -0.784%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.59%EV -17.81%E -4.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-13 01:49
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.55%EV -2.30%E -1.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.87%EV -6.19%E -0.784%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.59%EV -17.81%E -4.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-13 01:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-12 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-12 20:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-12 20:49