Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tigres v Atlante FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 01:03 UTC

Score final : Tigres 2–0 Atlante FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tigres (Local)

Prévision 60.61%1.65cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -5.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.33%60.70%60.56%62.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.511.511.6071.43%66.06%66.23%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlante FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.48%5.72cote équitable
EV +4.88%
Avantage +0.814%
Kelly +0.976%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.54%17.32%17.41%18.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.375.406.0021.05%18.61%18.52%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.91%4.56cote équitable
EV +0.770%
Avantage +0.167%
Kelly +0.214%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.84%21.99%22.03%23.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.144.104.6026.32%24.15%24.39%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tigres (Local) : 60.61% ; Atlante FC (Visiteur) : 17.48% ; Match nul : 21.91%. Pour Atlante FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.72. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.88%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -8.47%E -5.61%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +4.88%E +0.814%K +0.976%G +0.048%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -8.47%E -5.61%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +4.88%E +0.814%K +0.976%G +0.048%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +4.88%E +0.814%K +0.976%G +0.048%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 01:02
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -9.69%E -6.50%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV +1.39%E +0.239%K +0.289%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:45
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -9.69%E -6.50%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV +1.39%E +0.239%K +0.289%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -9.69%E -6.50%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV +1.39%E +0.239%K +0.289%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:44
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -9.69%E -6.50%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV +1.39%E +0.239%K +0.289%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:45
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -9.69%E -6.50%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV +1.39%E +0.239%K +0.289%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -9.69%E -6.50%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV +1.39%E +0.239%K +0.289%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:44
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -9.69%E -6.50%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV +1.39%E +0.239%K +0.289%G +0.004%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 00:45
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -12.11%E -8.35%K -26.91%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.92%EV -2.11%E -0.377%K -0.459%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58%EV -13.47%E -3.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -3.86%E -0.702%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV +0.770%E +0.167%K +0.214%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-21 11:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%EV -3.86%E -0.702%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV +0.770%E +0.167%K +0.214%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-21 11:34
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.23%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.52%EV -3.86%E -0.702%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.25%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 01:02
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -3.86%E -0.702%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -1.42%E -0.316%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 19:59
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -8.47%E -5.61%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -3.86%E -0.702%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -10.90%E -7.41%K -23.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -3.86%E -0.702%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 00:34
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.72%E -8.83%K -28.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -3.86%E -0.702%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 00:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -12.11%E -8.35%K -26.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -3.86%E -0.702%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -12.11%E -8.35%K -26.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -3.86%E -0.702%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -12.72%E -8.83%K -28.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -3.86%E -0.702%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 00:39
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.95%EV -4.23%E -2.68%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.70%EV -4.91%E -0.902%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.35%EV -1.20%E -0.266%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 00:59
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.82%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.14%EV -5.08%E -0.936%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.05%EV -7.55%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 00:49
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.85%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -5.61%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 00:50
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -5.61%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 00:54
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -5.61%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -11.28%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -5.61%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -11.28%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 23:14
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -5.61%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 01:02
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.44%EV -15.14%E -10.82%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.93%EV -5.61%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.63%EV -16.75%E -4.41%K -5.98%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-22 00:44
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.23%EV -3.62%E -2.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.00%EV -7.01%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 00:58
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -7.36%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.61%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -7.36%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 00:59
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.23%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -1.42%E -0.316%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 00:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -8.23%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 00:50
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -8.23%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 00:59
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -8.23%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 00:59
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.23%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 00:55
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -9.10%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 01:02
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.60%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 00:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.60%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.37%EV -8.47%E -5.61%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -12.60%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -13.47%E -3.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 01:02
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.60%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 00:09
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -16.10%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 00:45
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.10%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 00:55
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.10%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-22 00:55
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.10%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-22 00:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.58%EV -10.90%E -7.41%K -23.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.25%EV -16.10%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -13.47%E -3.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-22 00:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.33%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -16.97%E -3.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 00:58
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.33%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -16.97%E -3.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -14.56%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 00:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.77%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.2%2026-08-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.77%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.2%2026-08-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.77%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.2%2026-08-22 01:00
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.83%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.25%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%1.7%2026-08-22 01:00
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.37%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.42%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.21%2.5%2026-08-22 01:00
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.11%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.41%2.9%2026-08-22 01:00